Council on Foreign Relations

December 9, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Tehran May Tempt Trump With Talks

The Islamic Republic is on the ropes, but it could still exploit the threat of rapid nuclear breakout.

December 9, 2024 | Steven A. Cook, Sinan Ciddi

Erdogan Gets His ‘Leader of the Muslim World’ Moment

Syria's change of leadership has given Turkey’s president the regional influence he has always wanted.

November 10, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Why Iran May Dash for the Bomb

Regime voices are pushing for it, and panic over Trump may offer a new impetus for action.

October 3, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Why Israel Is Worried About Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, learned the limits of his foreign policy strategy this week: Even well-armed and well-trained surrogate forces can prove unreliable if a determined modern...

September 24, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran Is Waiting for a President Harris

The mullahs haven’t avenged Haniyeh’s killing because they’re playing a longer—nuclear—game.

August 2, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran Counts on U.S. Weakness to Check Israeli Strength

The Biden administration has pressed the Jewish state for a cease-fire, so far without success.

July 11, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Meet Iran’s New Boss, Same as the Old Boss

President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian is a kinder, softer regime loyalist. Khamenei and the Islamic Guard Corps still rule.

May 20, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

The Death of Iran’s President Does Not Bode Well

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has not always seen eye to eye with his country’s presidents. Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani nudged the Islamic Republic too close to the West for the supreme leader’s...

April 20, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran’s Nuclear Calculus Has Now Become More Dangerous

Supreme Leader Khamenei must wonder if the Islamic Republic’s situation would be better if it had already tested a nuclear weapon. The West shouldn’t underestimate the ailing ayatollah’s need for a glorious legacy.

April 15, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Putting U.S. Power Behind Israel Will Keep Iran at Bay

Until Iran’s barrage of missiles and drones against Israel, the two countries had avoided open military intrusions into each other’s territory. Tehran most often acted through proxies, and...

April 4, 2024 | Steven A. Cook, Sinan Ciddi

Post-Erdogan Turkey Is Finally Here

Last weekend’s elections offer a first glimpse of a political future beyond the reigning strongman.

April 2, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran Is Winning the War

Right now things look good for Israel. But the Islamic Republic is playing the long game. And its advantages, alas, are many.

March 20, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Khamenei’s Strategy to Dominate the Middle East Will Outlive Him

Iran’s aging supreme leader is ensuring that any successor will stay the course.

March 12, 2024 | Eric S. Edelman, Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

When Iran Goes Nuclear

The Islamic Republic will even more aggressive toward Israel and improve its standing with Russia and China.

January 22, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran’s Leaders Say They Don’t Want a War. Should We Believe Them?

The war in Gaza has now gone where many feared it would, expanding into conflict in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and the Red Sea. With America’s repeated strikes against the Houthis in Yemen this...

June 7, 2023 | Clifford D. May |

The Stalinist approach to peacemaking

It’s simple, homicidal logic: No Israel, no problem

May 8, 2023 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

China and Russia Encourage Iran to Go Nuclear

An aloof U.S. leaves a regional vacuum that the Islamic Republic is exploiting brilliantly.

April 15, 2023 | Eric S. Edelman, Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Smears and Myths—The October Surprise Revisited

The New York Times revives the claim that Reagan won in 1980 by conspiring to prolong the Iran hostage crisis.

March 15, 2023 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

How Iran’s Regime Is Threatened by Its Clerics

A new wrinkle in the Islamic Republic’s continuing political crisis

March 13, 2023 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Who Is Poisoning Iranian Schoolgirls?

The attacks, which have sickened thousands, are the latest evidence that the regime is losing its grip.