South Caucasus

February 27, 2026 | Keti Korkiya, Dmitriy Shapiro

How the White House Is Keeping Russia out of the South Caucasus

After successfully expanding US influence in Azerbaijan and Armenia, the Trump administration should set its sights on Georgia.

February 13, 2026 | Angela Howard, Keti Korkiya

Vance Visit to Armenia and Azerbaijan Signals U.S. Push Into Region Dominated by Russia

The U.S. is using diplomatic and economic carrots to project influence in a region that Russia has long regarded as its backyard. Vice President JD Vance visited Armenia and Azerbaijan from February...

November 13, 2025 | Keti Korkiya |

Georgian PM’s Visit to China Highlights Beijing’s Growing Footprint in South Caucasus

China is a “role model for modernization” and a “champion of peace,” Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze declared during a visit to Shanghai in early November, where the two countries signed...

October 23, 2025 | Keti Korkiya |

Georgian Dream’s Power Grab Sets Stage to Outlaw Opposition

The Republic of Georgia continues its democratic backslide under Georgian Dream, the country’s authoritarian ruling party, which is sympathetic to Beijing, Moscow, and Tehran and antagonistic to Washington...

August 12, 2025 | Janatan Sayeh |

Armenia–Azerbaijan deal worries Iran

Washington brokered an agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan on August 8 aimed at opening a transit corridor through the South Caucasus. The new agreement replaces the original Zangezur...

July 25, 2025 | Peter Doran, Dmitriy Shapiro

In the Caucasus, Donald Trump Has an Opportunity

With Azerbaijan defying Russia, the region has the opportunity to clinch a historic peace deal.

November 30, 2023 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

US International energy policy toward the 2024 elections

While international energy policy is not on the ballot in the 2024 US elections, the election outcome will profoundly impact the U.S. role in international energy developments. Current U.S. energy policies have determined new rules of American engagement in the international arena. ...

September 9, 2022 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

Israel’s Role in the Second Armenia-Azerbaijan War and Its Implications for the Future

Excerpt For a quarter of a century, Israel and Azerbaijan have maintained deep strategic cooperation that touches on national security issues of the highest importance to both sides. The defense relationship...

December 3, 2021 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer

The Trigger for War: Energy in the 2020 Armenia-Azerbaijan War

Excerpt Traditionally, militaries at war seek to meet their operational energy1 needs, gain access to energy supplies, and deny energy supplies to their adversaries. However, in the 2020 Armenia—Azerbaijan...

December 3, 2021 | Aykan Erdemir, Sinan Ciddi, John Hardie

Collusion or Collision?

Turkey-Russia Relations Under Erdogan and Putin

March 5, 2021 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

Armenia’s nuclear power plant is dangerous. Time to close it.

In late 2020, the Armenian government announced that its Metsamor nuclear power plant would close for five months in 2021 to attempt significant upgrades. Soon after, the EU urged Armenia to make the closure...

February 16, 2021 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

More than Just Friends? New Azerbaijan-Turkmenistan Agreement on Joint Energy Production in the Caspian Sea

On January 21, 2021 the Presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan signed an intergovernmental Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) for joint development of the newly named Dostluq (friendship in Azerbaijani...

November 25, 2020 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

The Armenia-Azerbaijan War: Downgrading Iran’s Regional Role

The security architecture emerging in the South Caucasus following the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan led to significant changes for the region’s three main powers:  Russia and Turkey gained increased...

October 21, 2020 | Dr. Brenda Shaffer |

The Iran Factor in Talks Between U.S., Azerbaijan, and Armenia

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will host the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia for apparently separate meetings in Washington this Friday to discuss the ongoing fighting between their two countries....

June 18, 2020 | Emanuele Ottolenghi |

Unfinished Business

How a Department of Justice forfeiture complaint may be an opening gambit against Iranian sanctions’ evasion.

January 27, 2020 | Svante Cornell, Dr. Brenda Shaffer

Occupied Elsewhere

Selective Policies on Occupations, Protracted Conflicts, and Territorial Disputes

July 1, 2015 | Emanuele Ottolenghi |

Snap-Back: A Journey Through Iranian Sanctions Evasion in Georgia

Two Iranian truck drivers sat idly in the parking area of the Poti Free Industrial Zone(FIZ), waiting for customs authoriti...

March 25, 2015 | Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The Sanctions on Iran Are Already Falling Apart

The Obama administration insists that the November 2013 interim nuclear deal with Iran gave Tehran’s economy only limited sanctions relief and that it can respond to Iranian misbe...

December 23, 2014 | Emanuele Ottolenghi |

How Iran Uses Dual Citizenship in the Caribbean to Skirt Sanctions

St. Kitts and Nevis (SKN) is a miniscule Caribbean nation whose biggest employer is the state sugar corporation and whose currency features wading sea turtles and the visage of Queen Elizabeth II...

December 15, 2014 | Emanuele Ottolenghi |

How Iran Is Skirting Sanctions in the Southern Caucasus

Proxies and agents, merchants and middlemen, peddlers and enablers of the Iranian regime have been scouring the globe for years in search of ways to evade U.S. sanctions and help Iran acquire nuc...