Kata'ib Hezbollah

January 15, 2025 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Trump Doctrine 2.0: What It Means for the Middle East

Countries across the Middle East are making moves and preparing for President Donald Trump’s incoming United States administration. Many of the region’s leaders were in power during the first...

January 14, 2025 | Edmund Fitton-Brown |

The role of Iraqi Shia militias as proxies in Iran’s Axis of Resistance

Iran’s 45-year trajectory from the Khomeini revolution to its current challenge to Israel, the West, and the Rules-Based International System (RBIS) led to developing and solidifying its “Axis...

January 8, 2025 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iran-Backed Militias Face Crisis After Assad’s Fall in Syria

Four years ago, in January 2020, a US drone carried out a strike in Iraq near Baghdad International Airport, killing Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force leader Qasem...

December 29, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Pro-Iran militias in Iraq may move away from Syria border

The point of the report is that the Iraqis want to show that the militias who played a role in Syria will now not just be in Iraq, but will be moved away from the border.

December 14, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Southern Syria’s resurgence brings Jordan and Iraq back in key roles

Jordan seeks to ensure regional security and stability, including in Syria, including by involving the international community in these prospects.

December 13, 2024 | Bill Roggio, Will Selber

Assad’s Enemies Are Not Our Friends

The United States shouldn’t make allies out of terrorists.

December 7, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Could the unrest in Syria spillover into Iraq? Iran seems to think so

Iran believes that Iraq is in danger - this means that Iran is worried militias it backs in Iraq could lose influence.

December 5, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Israeli defense officials meet as Syrian regime loses ground to rebels

Israel is closely monitoring developments in Syria as Syrian Army forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad retreated from Hama, the second city the regime has lost to opposition forces in a week. Israeli...

December 4, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iran faces setbacks in Syria as proxies weaken, struggles to support Assad regime

Iran is clearly trying to shore up support for the Assad regime after the regime suffered setbacks at the hands of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, an opposition group.

November 30, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Syrian regime may lose Aleppo due to Iran’s failures

Up until several days ago, the Syrian regime believed its backers in Moscow and Tehran could keep it safe.

November 6, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

How will Iran’s proxies in Iraq respond to US election?

Iranian militias ramp up drone attacks on Israel, await US response post-election.

October 22, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Multi-front drone threats against Israel increase

On October 21, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intercepted five unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) that were detected flying over an area of the Mediterranean Sea. The IDF did not disclose where it intercepted...

October 18, 2024 | Ahmad Sharawi |

Iran is Gaining Ground in Jordan

A Jordanian population sympathetic to Iran’s ambitions, coupled with the country’s long border with Israel, could turn Jordan into a potential launching pad for attacks against Israel.

October 4, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Recent IDF casualties show deadly drone threat from Iraq, Yemen is increasing

The Iranian-backed drone programs that proliferated in the Middle East in recent years have become increasingly deadly.

October 3, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iran’s Great Ballistic Missile Attack Gamble

The October 1 attack by Iran is its largest gamble yet. It knows Israel is primed to respond. It knows that Israel has backing from the West. It also knows Israel significantly weakened Hamas and Hezbollah, removing two of the Iranian-backed fronts against Israel. Nevertheless, Iran’s regime believes it is stronger than it was in the past and ready to confront Israel.

September 28, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Life after Nasrallah: Iran to lean on other proxies in confronting Israel

With Hezbollah severely compromised, Iran will lean on its other proxies to confront Israel.

September 26, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Can Iraqi militias be deterred from attacking Israel?

It is clear that the Iraqi militias are expanding their war against Israel and are increasingly a danger.

September 18, 2024 | |

Israel Intercepts Drone From Iraq

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intercepted a drone launched from Iraq over Israeli airspace on September 18. Israeli fighter jets shot down the drone around 4:30 a.m. as it approached...

September 11, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iranian President Pezeshkian’s visit to Iraq boosts economic ties and diplomacy

Iranian President Pezeshkian is visiting Iraq to strengthen economic ties and diplomatic relations, focusing on cooperation and Shi'ite shrines.

September 8, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Terror threat on Israel expands beyond Gaza, West Bank into Jordan

The recent terror attack on the 8th of September comes as part of the ongoing smuggling of weaponry and drugs to the West Bank since October 7th.