Arab Spring

December 31, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Assad’s Syria manipulated the region, will the new Syria do the same?

The question now is whether the new Syrian government will seek to try to play countries against each other or work to be a unifying and stabilizing force in the region

December 22, 2024 | Bill Roggio |

US removes $10 million reward for Hayat Tahrir al Sham leader

The US State Department removed the $10 million reward for Abu Mohammad al Jolani, the Specially Designated Global Terrorist who leads Haytat Tahrir al Sham (HTS), which State describes as an Al Qaeda...

December 15, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Is Syria’s Julani part of a rising generation of younger Middle East leaders?

If Julani is to remain in power for the coming years, he could play a transformative role in Syria and the Middle East.

December 11, 2024 | Clifford D. May |

Assad exits and Khamenei’s strategy unravels

Lessons to be learned in the Middle East

December 9, 2024 | Bill Roggio |

US launches massive strikes on Islamic State as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham deposes Assad regime

The US Military launched “dozens” of airstrikes against Islamic State targets in central Syria on December 8, the day that President Bashir al-Assad’s regime was overthrown by the terrorist organization...

December 8, 2024 | Hussain Abdul-Hussain |

Assad Is Gone: What Happens to Syria Now?

On 9/11, Sunni Islamism attacked the U.S. and suffered a crushing American response that allowed Iranian Shia Islamism to rise and dominate parts of the Middle East. On 10/7, Shia Islamism – with the...

December 8, 2024 | Jonathan Schanzer |

Assad End in Syria

Excerpt The Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria has collapsed. Sunni rebels, backed by Turkey and Qatar, completed their lightning offensive last night after just a few short days of fighting. Assad’s...

December 6, 2024 | Ben Cohen |

Winners and losers in the Middle East: The story so far

For Turkey and Qatar, net gains. For Iran, and its Palestinian and Lebanese proxies, net losses. For Israel, the jury is out.

November 11, 2024 | Sinan Ciddi |

Erdogan’s Turkey: Diminished and Marginalized

Under the president’s watch, it would be difficult, if not impossible, to describe any foreign policy portfolio that has furthered the country’s national interest.

November 10, 2024 | |

“Natural Allies”: Israel to Cultivate Kurdish, Druze Ties

Latest Developments Outreach to Arabs, Minorities by New Foreign Minister: Gideon Sa’ar, Israel’s new foreign minister, gave remarks on November 10 in which he spoke in favor of expanded...

September 23, 2024 | Edmund Fitton-Brown |

The Houthis have challenged the Rules-Based International System and must be defeated

In my first analysis and opinion piece on the so-called Axis of Resistance, I set the scene by describing Iran’s 45-year trajectory from the Khomeini revolution to its current challenge to...

September 2, 2024 | Edmund Fitton-Brown |

Responding forcefully to the Axis of Resistance

Iran has defined itself in opposition to Israel, the United States, and the wider West since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Over the course of half a century of complex regional and global events, the clerical...

May 21, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Egypt’s relationship with Hamas: What does history tell us?

October 7 deeply impacted Egypt, however, Cairo has not appeared to excoriate Hamas for the attack, leaving questions about how this all transpired.

May 21, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Did Raisi’s outreach to Arab states pave the way for Oct. 7?

Iran sought to derail any Saudi-Israeli normalization deal, which October 7 did; as such, it exploited October 7 to change the regional order.

May 20, 2024 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Raisi set the Middle East aflame but his death will not put out the fire

With Raisi and Amir-Abdollahian gone, Iran will fall back on the IRGC which controls much of the country behind the scenes.

May 14, 2024 | Hussain Abdul-Hussain |

Kuwait: Islamists and the end of Arab democracy

Installing democracy in a society without a tradition of liberty is like handing car keys to an unlicensed driver

April 2, 2024 | Reuel Marc Gerecht, Ray Takeyh

Iran Is Winning the War

Right now things look good for Israel. But the Islamic Republic is playing the long game. And its advantages, alas, are many.

January 19, 2024 | Emanuele Ottolenghi |

US Should Sanction Lebanon’s pro-Iran ‘Resistance TV’

On December 27, an Israeli missile hit a home in the Southern Lebanese town of Bint Jbeil, killing brothers Ali and Ibrahim Bazzi and Ibrahim’s wife. Within hours, Al Manar, Hezbollah’s official media...

October 16, 2023 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Will China-Russia summit impact Israel’s war with Iran-backed Hamas?

Despite years of favorable Israeli foreign policy, both Beijing and Moscow are now openly hostile to Israel.

October 13, 2023 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Report from the Gaza Front: A New Playbook

I spent the first days of the war on the Gaza border, mostly near Kibbutz Zikim. On the fifth day, October 11, I went to the Gaza border city of Sderot and spent time in the community, speaking with locals...