Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant

October 14, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iraq After the US Military Withdrawal: Militia Disarmament Will Decide the Outcome

Iraq is at a new crossroads. On October 8 and 12, Iranian drones targeted Kurdish Iranian opposition groups based in northern Iraq. These are just several of more than 1,000 attacks by Iran on Iraq over...

October 13, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iran targets Kurdish opposition groups in Iraq with new round of drone attacks

Iran conducted a drone attack against the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), a Kurdish Iranian dissident group, in Iraq’s northern Kurdistan Region on October 12, according to the PDKI. The...

October 9, 2026 | Caleb Weiss |

Somalia claims to have killed another senior Shabaab leader

Another key Shabaab leader is dead, according to Somali authorities. Earlier this week, Somalia’s National Intelligence and Security Agency (NISA) said that senior Shabaab official Bashir Ahmed Haji...

October 9, 2026 | Will Selber |

Islamic State-linked suspects detained or charged in 6 countries since late September

Authorities in Georgia, North Macedonia, Germany, Italy, Turkey, and Israel detained or indicted 51 Islamic State-linked suspects in eight separate cases between September 25 and October 8. The arrests...

October 8, 2026 | Will Selber |

FBI arrests alleged Islamic State supporter accused of plotting Mall of America attack

On October 6, the FBI arrested Sheikhdoon Abdullahi Mohamud, 18, of Richfield, Minnesota, near his residence after he bought an AK-47-style rifle, magazines, and ammunition from an undercover FBI employee,...

October 8, 2026 | Bill Roggio, Will Selber

The Taliban vs Pakistan: Can they both lose?

October 7, 2026 | Helin Unal, Sinan Ciddi

Turkey Maintains Extensive Presence in Iraq Despite Forthcoming Withdrawal From Key Base

After 11 years of Turkish military presence, Ankara and Baghdad have agreed that Turkish troops will gradually withdraw from the Bashiqa-Zilkan camp in northern Iraq, though no firm timeline has been set. This...

October 2, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Syria faces infrastructure sabotage, Islamic State activity amid utility shortages

On October 2, the Syrian Petroleum Company said it restored a gas pipeline near Deir Ezzor after the line had been sabotaged. “The company said on Telegram that crews replaced an 18-meter section of...

September 30, 2026 | Bill Roggio, Thomas Joscelyn

Operation Enduring Failure: 25 years after the US invasion of Afghanistan

September 30, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

US forces complete departure from Iraq as anti-Islamic State mission in Iraq ends

US forces deployed as part of Operation Inherent Resolve, the anti-Islamic State mission, completed their departure from Iraq on September 30. Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al Zaidi held a ceremony to mark...

September 30, 2026 | Will Selber

Anti-Taliban resistance claims attacks across Afghanistan in September

As the Taliban enters its sixth year in power, a resistance against its rule remains active despite lacking a sanctuary or an official state sponsor. Throughout September, eight anti-Taliban resistance...

September 28, 2026 | Will Selber |

Fighting between Pakistan and the Taliban persists into second week

The latest round of conflict between Pakistan and the Taliban continued this past week, including airstrikes, cross-border attacks, targeted operations, and a car bombing. The fighting appears likely to...

September 25, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Iraq agrees to Turkish base deal as militia disarmament timeline debated

Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al Zaidi indicated that the country would disarm Iranian-backed militias by June 2027, according to a report in The New York Times on September 21. He made the comments during...

September 25, 2026 | Will Selber |

Islamic State suspects extradited or arrested in Lebanon, Canada, Australia, and the US

On September 23, media reports emerged that Lebanese Army Intelligence had arrested a suspected Islamic State member in northern Lebanon after placing him under surveillance. During questioning, the individual...

September 23, 2026 | Bridget Toomey |

Iraq Delays Militia Disarmament, But Doesn’t Give Up — For Now

Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi has reiterated his commitment to disarm Iranian-backed militias in his country, but says he needs nine more months to accomplish what may be an impossible task. In...

September 21, 2026 | Will Selber |

Pakistan conducts airstrikes in eastern Afghanistan in retaliation for terrorist attacks

On September 20, Pakistan conducted airstrikes in eastern Afghanistan, reportedly targeting militants suspected of involvement in recent terrorist attacks in western Pakistan. Pakistan claimed that the...

September 18, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Yazidi armed group YBS to disarm, integrate into Iraqi security forces

The Sinjar Resistance Units (YBS), a Yazidi armed group based in northern Iraq, has agreed to disarm, the Iraqi Prime Minister’s Office said on September 11. In the wake of the agreement,...

September 17, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi, Benjamin Acosta

The Three Quiet Victors of the Iran War

Turkey, Pakistan, and Qatar have played their hands well since February 28, without disrupting their relations with either the United States or Iran.

September 17, 2026 | Ahmad Sharawi, Justin Leopold-Cohen

Syria’s military is rebuilding, but foreign influence may slow security progress

Foreign influence in the Syrian military, chiefly Turkish and Russian, combined with the continued presence of extremist elements within its ranks, will constrain Damascus’s ability to take steps consistent...

September 17, 2026 | David Daoud |

LAF-Hezbollah coordination and the limits of Lebanon’s disarmament effort

Israel assesses with “fairly high probability” that the Lebanese military is coordinating its activity in Lebanon’s disarmament pilot zones with Hezbollah, Israel’s Channel 14 reported on...