Tahrir al-Sham

August 13, 2025 | Sinan Ciddi |

Turkey is Making a Power Play to Dominate the Middle East

With Iran’s regional influence in steep decline, Turkey is aggressively positioning itself to fill the vacuum and assert dominance across the eastern Mediterranean and the broader Middle East....

August 11, 2025 | Sinan Ciddi |

Erdoğan’s Long Game in Syria

When Bashar al-Asad’s regime abruptly collapsed in December 2024, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan saw more than just a regional upheaval. He saw a long-awaited opportunity.  With Iran’s...

August 1, 2025 | Ahmad Sharawi |

UN report shows Islamic State and Al Qaeda exploiting post-Assad chaos in Syria

On July 29, the United Nations Security Council Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team released its latest report detailing terrorist group activities around the world. The section...

July 30, 2025 | Clifford D. May |

Choose the Druze

Syria’s endangered minorities deserve protection

July 24, 2025 | Sinan Ciddi |

Erdogan and Shara’s “Sunnification” Project

The recent sectarian violence shows that the Syrian government and its Turkish backers share a dangerous vision of a Sunni-dominant state.

July 22, 2025 | Mariam Wahba |

Egypt cracks down on Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated HASM terror organization amid resurgence

Egyptian security forces killed two suspected members of the Harakat Sawaid Misr (HASM) militant group in a shootout on the outskirts of Giza on Sunday, according to the country’s Interior...

July 17, 2025 | Seth J. Frantzman |

The Druze Test: A Deep Dive into Why Israel is Bombing Syria Again

Israel’s Druze Test in Syria  On July 16, the Israel Defense Forces carried out airstrikes in the heart of Damascus. The IDF said it had targeted Syria’s military headquarters and...

July 15, 2025 | Hussain Abdul-Hussain |

Hezbollah Is a State within the State, Not Only “Heavy and Medium” Weapons

In policy, simplicity is valuable; naiveté is catastrophic. Lebanon has by now diluted UNSCR 1701 from dismantling Hezbollah’s militia, arms production, and illicit funding to merely surrendering “heavy and medium” weapons, or as U.S. Envoy Tom Barrack frames it: Hezbollah must hand over weapons that threaten Israel. Such oversimplification misses the root issue: Hezbollah’s very existence as a state within a state is an existential threat to the Lebanese state.

July 8, 2025 | Jonathan Schanzer |

Netanyahu’s gift to Trump marks a ‘historic horizon’ for Mideast peace

When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited President Donald Trump at the White House Monday, he celebrated his country’s victory over the Islamic Republic of Iran — after a brief but intense...

July 3, 2025 | Max Meizlish |

U.S. Replaces Comprehensive Sanctions on Syria With More Targeted Tools

The United States rolled back decades-old comprehensive sanctions on Syria on June 30, but the story is not as simple as either media reports or the administration itself makes it seem. The executive order...

July 2, 2025 | Ahmad Sharawi |

Trump announces sanctions relief for Syria

On June 30, US President Donald Trump issued an executive order revoking longstanding sanctions on Syria. “The United States is committed to supporting a Syria that is stable, unified, and...

July 1, 2025 | |

‘Path to Stability and Peace’: White House Terminates Most Sanctions on Syria

Syria Sanctions Terminated: The Trump administration issued an executive order officially lifting most of the U.S. sanctions imposed on Syria. The order is intended to “promote...

June 9, 2025 | Steven A. Cook, Sinan Ciddi

The Struggle for Syria

On May 14, President Donald Trump stood smiling with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman and Syria’s self-declared leader, Ahmed al-Shara’a, on the sidelines of the President’s visit...

June 6, 2025 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Delegation from eastern Syria meets with government in Damascus

A delegation from the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) met with the new Syrian government in Damascus on June 1. The talks are aimed at fully integrating the autonomous eastern...

June 4, 2025 | |

Sharaa ‘Responsible for Every Threat’: Terrorists in Syria Launch Rockets Into Israel

Syrian Rockets Hit Israel: The IDF reported that two rockets crossed into Israeli territory from Syria on June 3 for the first time in over a year. The projectiles triggered alarms...

May 30, 2025 | Sinan Ciddi |

Lifting Sanctions on Syrian Regime Is a Grave Mistake

At a future point, many will ask an obvious question: why did the United States and Europe lift sanctions on Syria? The question will come after the likely fall of the Ahmed...

May 30, 2025 | Matthew Zweig, Max Meizlish

New Syria sanctions relief (and risks) explained

Firms relying on the recent wave of lifted sanctions and exceptive relief will face significant hurdles in verifying that transactions do not benefit excluded actors

May 29, 2025 | Ahmad Sharawi |

The Druze chessboard between Syria and Israel

On May 29, an Israeli security official told the Saudi-owned Arabic news channel Al Arabiya that Israel “will not fight in support of any group in Syria.” The official added that while Israel...

May 22, 2025 | Seth J. Frantzman |

Has the Era of Extremism Ended in the Middle East?

On May 20, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke about the U.S. decision to engage with the new Syrian government in Damascus. Rubio said that an unstable Syria has historically...

May 22, 2025 | Bill Roggio, Ahmad Sharawi

Syrian military integrates Al Qaeda-linked terror group into its ranks

The new Syrian government is integrating a Central Asian terrorist group that is part of Al Qaeda’s network into its military, despite the objections of US President Donald Trump. The head of this terror...