Nicosia

July 17, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi, Jack Burnham

Ankara’s Charm Offensive Should Not Buy Back the F-35

The choreography in Ankara last week was impressive, even by Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s standards. Cannons fired, mounted honor guards paraded, and jets flew overhead trailing red, white, and blue smoke...

July 6, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi, Jonathan Schanzer

Don’t Launder Erdogan’s Record at the NATO Summit

The NATO summit convening in Ankara next week will offer Turkish strongman Recep Tayyip Erdogan an opportunity to present himself as a vital ally: one with a military capable of blunting Russian aggression,...

June 9, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi |

Turkey Escalates Tensions in Cyprus

Turkey’s increasingly confrontational posture in the Eastern Mediterranean was on display this week when aircraft carrying European defense ministers to Cyprus were reportedly harassed by Turkish fighter...

May 13, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi |

Turkey’s Maritime Strategy Heightens the Risk of a New Eastern Mediterranean Crisis

Ankara’s New Legislative Initiative May Appear Technical or Bureaucratic, but It Represents a Calculated Escalation by Erdoğan

March 25, 2026 | David Daoud |

Lebanon declares Iranian ambassador-designate ‘persona non grata’ before Iranian missile explodes over Lebanese airspace

On March 24, Lebanese Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi announced that he had instructed his ministry’s secretary-general “to summon the Iranian Charge d’Affaires in Lebanon,”...

November 10, 2025 | Sinan Ciddi, William Doran

Erhurman’s election a step towards peace, but beware of Ankara’s appetite

The election of the new Turkish-Cypriot leader Tufan Erhurman in the recent presidential election is a blow to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ambitions on the island, but his cadre is far from...

October 7, 2025 | William Doran, Sinan Ciddi

Erdogan’s imagined ‘arms race’ in Cyprus

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his loyalists wasted no time last week blasting Nicosia’s purchase of Barak MX air defense systems, denouncing it as a dire threat to Turkey and its client...

September 18, 2025 | |

‘Dangerous Consequences’: Turkey Threatens Cyprus Over Reported Procurement of Israeli Air Defense System

Ankara Claims ‘Peace and Stability’ Undermined: Turkey threatened “dangerous consequences” for Cyprus after its reported procurement of the Israeli Barak MX integrated air...

June 27, 2024 | Sinan Ciddi |

Will Turkey Work With Hezbollah?

Turkey’s goal in the ongoing Lebanon crisis remains the humiliation of Israel.

June 27, 2024 | Behnam Ben Taleblu |

Hezbollah’s Missiles And Growing Military Might Are A True Threat

Unpacking the Capability Behind Hezbollah’s Threat to Expand its War: Less than a day after U.S. Special Envoy Amos Hochstein was in Beirut to again meet with Lebanese officials to press for...

June 19, 2024 | |

Hezbollah Threatens Cyprus Over Israel Links

Hezbollah warned Cyprus on June 19 against helping Israel in any future war in Lebanon, signaling that the Mediterranean island nation could also face a terrorist attack. Amid...

March 1, 2023 | Sinan Ciddi |

Turkey After Erdogan

November 21, 2022 | |

Iran Caught Again Trying to Kill Israeli Civilians Abroad

Georgia’s state security announced last Tuesday the arrest of a Pakistani national affiliated with al-Qaeda and of two Iranian nationals who attempted to murder a prominent Israeli in the capital of Tbilisi. An Israeli media report, citing an unnamed Israeli security official, said the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ (IRGC) Quds Force orchestrated the assassination attempt, which sought to target Israeli-Georgian businessman Itzik Moshe. Georgian security alleged the would-be attacker received weapons from Iranian citizens living in the country via drop-offs and hideouts.

September 22, 2022 | Ryan Brobst, Jonathan Schanzer, Bradley Bowman

Lifting the arms embargo on Cyprus is a major opportunity to aid Ukraine

The Biden administration announced on Friday a decision to lift the decades-old arms embargo on Cyprus for the coming fiscal year. This laudable step recognizes Nicosia’s progress related to financial...

December 3, 2021 | Aykan Erdemir, Sinan Ciddi, John Hardie

Collusion or Collision?

Turkey-Russia Relations Under Erdogan and Putin

August 24, 2021 | Morgan Lorraine Viña |

UN Peacekeeping in Cyprus: So Much for Deterrence

In Hans Christian Anderson’s children’s classic The Emperor’s New Clothes, the unfortunate emperor parades around the streets in his birthday suit, confident that his fine garments are seen by everyone...

January 14, 2021 | Aykan Erdemir, Philip Kowalski

Turkey

November 19, 2020 | Aykan Erdemir |

Biden and Erdogan: Five Potential Flashpoints in US-Turkish Relations

After being protected by Donald Trump, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan could soon face US sanctions and political pushback from Joe Biden’s administration that would sour Ankara-Washington relations.

October 14, 2020 | Aykan Erdemir |

Erdogan Meddles in Northern Cyprus Elections

Northern Cyprus will head to a runoff presidential vote next Sunday in a race that pits the proreunification incumbent of the breakaway region against a nationalist hawk backed by Turkey’s Islamist President...

September 30, 2020 | Aykan Erdemir, Philip Kowalski

‘Blue Homeland’ And The Irredentist Future Of Turkish Foreign Policy

Turkey and Greece, two NATO allies, nearly experienced a full-fledged military conflict in August. Two of their warships collided during a naval standoff over hydrocarbon exploration in the Eastern...