Gulf States

FDD Analysis

September 4, 2026 | Simone Rodan-Benzaquen

Advice to Europe: “America hasn’t won, but Iran may be losing.”

*This article was originally published in French In Europe, and especially in France, the verdict seems to be in. The United States, we are told, has pursued a strategy toward Iran that is as brutal...

September 4, 2026 | Andrea Stricker

Saudi Nuclear Deal Raises Concern Over Diluted U.S. Nonproliferation Standards

In a notable loosening of decades of U.S. nonproliferation practice, the bilateral nuclear cooperation agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia now being reviewed by Congress would open the...

September 3, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Houthi Propaganda Laid the Groundwork for Military Escalation

Houthis rebels are threatening Yemenis with a return to civil war, the Red Sea with resumed instability, and Saudi Arabia with attacks on its energy infrastructure and shipping....

September 1, 2026 | Tzvi Kahn

Trump Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: September

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September 1, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman

Iranian-backed militia in Iraq sets ‘conditions’ for disarmament

Kataib Sayyid al Shuhada, an Iranian-backed militia in Iraq, has set conditions for placing its arms under the control of the Iraqi government. Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al Zaidi has sought to...

August 29, 2026 | Ahmad Sharawi, Bridget Toomey

Oman can’t avoid Operation Economic Outcast

President Donald Trump threatened to bomb Oman if it “gets in the way” of American plans for the future of the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the threat, Iran and Oman announced that...

August 28, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman

Iranian-backed Iraqi militias may seek to delay disarmament

Iranian-backed militias in Iraq may be seeking to delay the government’s plan to disarm them. “A senior Iraqi official pushed back a September 30 deadline for pro-Iran factions to hand over their weapons,...

August 28, 2026 | Andrea Stricker

Trump Administration Sends Secretive U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal to Congress for Review

The Trump administration appears poised to upend long-standing U.S. policy restricting the spread of nuclear fuel-making technologies. It has transmitted a U.S.-Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement to...

August 27, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Iraq’s Growing Oil Exports Through Basra Should Not Become an Asset for Iran

Basra, Iraq’s oil export hub perched on the Persian Gulf, is busier than it has been since conflict between the United States and Iran began in February. According to Bloomberg, satellite imagery...

August 24, 2026 | Andrea Stricker

Why a Saudi Nuclear Program Is Not Worth Ending US Nonproliferation Policy

It is unlikely that Russia or China would be willing to support a Saudi nuclear program if the United States refuses to do so.

August 21, 2026 | Max Meizlish

Halting Trade With Iran Won’t Help UAE Combat Sanctions Evasion

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is moving to constrain Iran economically — but it is leaving a major source of regime revenue untouched. On August 18, following a series of high-level discussions with...

August 21, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Deadline for Iraq’s Militias To Disarm Nears but Tehran’s Proxies Show They’re Above the Law

Iraq’s new prime minister, Ali al-Zaidi, appears to be trying to reign in the Iranian-backed militias that have spread terror and disunion in his country. But a recent arrest may point to the limits...

August 18, 2026 | Seth J. Frantzman

Countries condemn Iranian attack on Kurdistan Region prime minister’s office

There was widespread condemnation on August 17 and 18 of an Iranian drone attack on the office of Kurdistan Regional Government Prime Minister Masrour Barzani. Early on August 17, two drones...

August 17, 2026 | Reuel Marc Gerecht

Will the Gulfies dump Trump?

A power vacuum threatens the Middle East

August 17, 2026 | Jonathan Schanzer

The Saudi Choice That Will Reshape the Middle East

Two possible paths, one pro-American, one not. Where will the Kingdom go?

August 14, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Iraq Struggles To Find Oil Export Options, but the UAE May Be Able To Help

Iraq relies on oil revenue for over 90 percent of its budget. With exports hovering at around half of the usual 3.4 million barrels per day (bpd) that were exported before Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz,...

August 13, 2026 | Toby Dershowitz

Al Jazeera Cuts Its Gaza Staff. Does Its Timing Tell a Story?

A Media rights organization has quietly removed at least eight individuals from its roster of media workers killed while doing journalistic work. The Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) said it...

August 12, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Fighting in Yemen escalates, raising concern of a return to civil war

The Houthis launched a series of attacks on Yemeni government forces on August 6. It is the most substantial campaign in Yemen from the Iran-backed terror group since a 2022 UN-brokered truce paused...

August 11, 2026 | Bridget Toomey

Yemen on the Brink of a Return to Civil War

When the Houthis in Yemen entered the conflict between the United States and Iran on July 20 by announcing a maritime blockade of Saudi Arabia, it spelled danger in the Red Sea. Now, it appears Yemenis...

August 11, 2026 | Sinan Ciddi, Ahmad Sharawi

The Mecca Defense Pact Looks Toothless. That Doesn’t Mean It’s Harmless.

The emerging Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan alliance threatens to trigger regional realignment.