Saeed Ghasseminejad

December 10, 2025 | Mehdi Ketabchy, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Climate change is a catalyst of Iran’s water crisis, but core problem is in government 

The right lens to view Iran’s water crisis is to recognize climate change as an exacerbating factor, but to prosecute poor governance as the main crime.

December 5, 2025 | |

New Survey Reveals 60 Percent of Americans Approved of U.S. Strikes Against Iranian Nuclear Facilities

Reagan Institute Survey Shows American Support for U.S. Action Against Iran: A new survey released by the Ronald Reagan Institute on December 4 found that 60 percent of Americans...

December 4, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

Iran’s Oil Exports Remained Near Peak in November

Although Iran’s oil exports dipped slightly from their October high of 2.15 million barrels per day (mbpd), its exports in November remained robust at 2.06 mbpd, for a total of 61.8 million barrels,...

November 24, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

The paradox of Iranian wealth: Why high exports are failing the people 

The Iranian economy is entering a dangerous phase of stagnation and inflation, despite securing revenue streams, signaling the nation's lack of wealth.

November 22, 2025 | Mehdi Ketabchy, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Iran’s Water Bankruptcy

Iran is running out of water, and the alarms are no longer abstract. Masoud Pezeshkian, the president of the Islamic Republic, openly discusses the need for massive internal migration due to water...

November 19, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

China Keeps the Axis of Aggressors Afloat With Oil Imports

Beijing continues to import oil from key U.S. adversaries. According to TankerTrackers, China imported 8.31 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil in October, only slightly lower than its September...

November 15, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

US Military Dominance Is the Backbone of Prosperity

The US social contract depends on sufficient deterrence and stability in the external world.

November 7, 2025 | |

Tehran Jails Iranian-American Jewish Man for Visiting Israel Over a Decade Ago

American Citizen Jailed by Regime: Iran imprisoned Kamran Hekmati, an elderly Iranian-American Jewish man, for traveling to Israel 13 years ago for his son’s bar mitzvah, according...

November 5, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

Iran’s October Oil Exports Hit 2025 Peak, Reflecting Failure of U.S. Sanctions Enforcement

Iran’s oil exports in October reached their highest monthly level of the year. This highlights the continued failure of the Trump administration to cut Tehran’s key financial lifeline. Tehran shipped...

October 27, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

Qatar’s Calculated Bet on the Islamic Republic

Qatar’s wealth and prestige are built on the incompetence of the rulers of Iran’s Islamic Republic. As long as Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his gang of fools are in charge in Tehran, Doha...

October 23, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad |

Iran’s September Oil Exports Reach a 2025 High, Underscoring Sanctions Enforcement Gaps

Iran’s oil exports in September 2025 reached their highest monthly level of the year, according to TankerTrackers, highlighting the continued shortcomings of international sanctions enforcement. Tehran...

October 19, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad, Toby Dershowitz

Why Iran Won’t Follow FATF Counter-Terrorism Rules

As usual, Tehran will make surface-level concessions and play for time. But it will never commit to genuine counter-terrorism regulation.

October 15, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad, Aidin Panahi

Snapback Isn’t Enough: Europe Must Outlaw the IRGC​​​​‌‍​‍​‍‌‍‌​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‌‍‍‌‌‍‍​‍​‍​‍‍​‍​‍‌​‌‍​‌‌‍‍‌‍‍‌‌‌​‌‍‌​‍‍‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍​‍​‍​​‍​‍‌‍‍​‌​‍‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‍​‍​‍​‍‍​‍​‍​‍‌​‌‌​‌‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‍‍‌‌​​‍‌‍‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌​​‍‌‍‌‌‍‌‍‌​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌‍‌‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‍‍​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌​​‌​‌‍​‌​​‌​‌‍​‌‌‍​‌‍​‍​‍​​​‌​‍‌​‌‍​​‌‍​​‌​​‍‌​‌​​​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‍‌‌‍​‍​​‌​‍​​​​‍‌​​‍​‍‌​​​​‌‌‍‌‍​‍‌‌‍​‌​​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‌‌‍​​‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌​​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‍‌​‌‌​​‍‌​​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍​​‌‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‌‍​‍‌‍​‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‌‌‌‌​‍‌‍​​‌​‍‌‌​​‍‌​‌‍‌​‌‌​‌‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍‌‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌​​‌​‌‍​‌​​‌​‌‍​‌‌‍​‌‍​‍​‍​​​‌​‍‌​‌‍​​‌‍​​‌​​‍‌​‌​​​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‍‌‌‍​‍​​‌​‍​​​​‍‌​​‍​‍‌​​​​‌‌‍‌‍​‍‌‌‍​‌​​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‌‌‍​​‍‌‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌​​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‍‌​‌‌​​‍‌‍‌​​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍​​‌‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‍‌‍‌​​‌‍‌‌‌​‍‌​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍​‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌‍‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‌‌‌‍​‍‌‍​‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍‍​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌​​‍​‍‌‌

The UN’s snapback sanctions mean little if Europe keeps giving IRGC a legal loophole. ​​​​‌‍​‍​‍‌‍‌​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‌‍‍‌‌‍‍​‍​‍​‍‍​‍​‍‌​‌‍​‌‌‍‍‌‍‍‌‌‌​‌‍‌​‍‍‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍​‍​‍​​‍​‍‌‍‍​‌​‍‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‍​‍​‍​‍‍​‍​‍​‍‌​‌‌​‌‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‍‍‌‌​​‍‌‍‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌​​‍‌‍‌‌‍‌‍‌​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌‍‌‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‍‍​‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌​​‌​‌‍​‌​​‌​‌‍​‌‌‍​‌‍​‍​‍​​​‌​‍‌​‌‍​​‌‍​​‌​​‍‌​‌​​​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‍‌‌‍​‍​​‌​‍​​​​‍‌​​‍​‍‌​​​​‌‌‍‌‍​‍‌‌‍​‌​​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‌‌‍​​‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌​​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‍‌​‌‌​​‍‌​​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍​​‌‌‍‌​‌‍‌‌‌​‌‍​‌​‍‌‍‍‌‌​​‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‍‍​‌‍​‍‌‍​‌‌​‌‍‌‌‌‌‌‌‌​‍‌‍​​‌​‍‌‌​​‍‌​‌‍‌​‌‌​‌‌‌‌‍‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍​‍‌‍‌‍‍‌‌‍‌​​‌​‌‍​‌​​‌​‌‍​‌‌‍​‌‍​‍​‍​​​‌​‍‌​‌‍​​‌‍​​‌​​‍‌​‌​​​‌‍​‌‍‌‌​‍‌‌‍​‍​​‌​‍​​​​‍‌​​‍​‍‌​​​​‌‌‍‌‍​‍‌‌‍​‌​​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌‌‌‍​​‍‌‍‌‌​‌‍‌‌​​‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‍‌​‌‌​​‍‌‍‌​​‌‍​‌‌‌​‌‍‍​​‌‌‍‌​‌‍‌‌‌​‌‍​‌​‍‌‍‍‌‌​​‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‍‌‍‍​‍‌‍‌​​‌‍‌‌‌​‍‌​‌​​‌‍‌‌‌‍​‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌‍‌‍‌‌​‌‌​​‌‌‌‌‍​‍‌‍​‌‍‍‌‌​‌‍‍​‌‍‌‌‌‍‌​​‍​‍‌‌

October 10, 2025 | Max Meizlish, Saeed Ghasseminejad

China Is Supercharging Iran’s Sanctions Evasion Strategy

Beijing has become the central engine of Iran’s sanctions evasion strategy. For years, China has been the top buyer of Iranian oil and other sanctioned goods — purchasing approximately 90 percent of...

October 2, 2025 | Aidin Panahi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

5 Ways to Curb Iran’s Oil Exports to China

Better enforcement of the re-imposed snapback sanctions on Iran could have a decisive effect on its oil exports to China.

September 30, 2025 | Charlie Laderman, Nazee Moinian

Freedom for Iran: Learning From U.S. Support for Polish Anti-Communists in the 1980s

September 26, 2025 | Saeed Ghasseminejad, Navid Mohebbi

Snapback Sanctions Against Iran: Will Donald Trump Play His Ace?

Iran is in a vulnerable position. President Trump should seize the moment to sink Iranian oil revenues and force Tehran to dismantle its nuclear program.

September 25, 2025 | |

Iran Rebuilding Missile Sites Targeted by Israel During Extensive Air Strikes

Missile Sites Under Reconstruction: Iran has reportedly begun to rebuild key missile production sites targeted by Israel during the June conflict that saw extensive Israeli and...

September 23, 2025 | |

Iran’s Supreme Leader Rejects Negotiations Over Country’s Nuclear Program as Snapback Deadline Looms

Khamenei Rejects Talks: Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rejected direct talks with the United States over the future of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program,...

September 19, 2025 | |

UN Security Council Nixes Resolution to Halt Reimposition of Sanctions Against Iran

Sanctions on Iran Set To Return: The 15-member UN Security Council voted on September 19 against a resolution to halt the imminent reimposition of UN sanctions against Iran, known as “snapback.” Only...