Fdd's overnight brief

September 21, 2022

In The News


Iranian protesters clashed with police on Tuesday in a fourth straight day of protests over the death of a young woman in police custody, prompting a harsh response from a conservative Islamic government challenged by discontent over its enforcement of morality laws. – Wall Street Journal

Iran and the West remained at loggerheads on Tuesday over U.N. probes of uranium traces at three Iranian sites as the United States said it did not expect a breakthrough on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal at this week’s U.N. General Assembly. – Reuters

French President Emmanuel Macron held face-to-face talks with his Iranian counterpart President Ebrahim Raisi on Tuesday with the French leader saying he hoped to be able to “discuss all subjects”. – Reuters

Both U.S. President Joe Biden and Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi were expected to address the annual U.N. gathering. With their delegations both in New York, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani told reporters in Tehran on Monday that discussions toward restoring full U.S. and Iranian compliance to the nuclear pact known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) were a possibility. – Newsweek

The aftermath of Mahsa Amini’s death may well gel into a turning point for Iran —  for the Iranian people now have the billionaire owner of Starlink, Elon Musk, at their side. Will Washington join him? – New York Sun

Seth J. Frantzman writes: At the same time, the protests will provide new wind in the sails of Kurdish movements that have opposed the theocratic rule of the Mullahs for decades. Any attacks on the Kurdish minority will further anger the people. Already the anger has spread to the Kurdish autonomous region of Iraq as well. In addition, Iran’s regime may try to distract through more attacks on the US or other countries in the region, such as Israel. – Jerusalem Post

Salem Alketbi writes: The bottom line is that the Gulf States and Israel are not worried about the deal itself. They are not reluctant to enter into an agreement with Iran for the simple reason that regional security and stability are the basis for the economic renaissance that these countries are experiencing as they seek to strengthen a culture of coexistence, renounce violence, and build peace. – Arutz Sheva

Russia & Ukraine

Divided by war, strained by shortages and faced with the cataclysm of global warming, dozens of world leaders convened at the United Nations in New York on Tuesday for the first full, in-person General Assembly since the pandemic began. Among all the global crises, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine dominated the day, with heads of state addressing the violence of the conflict, the chaos in supply chains, the soaring energy prices and the other ripple effects of the war. – New York Times

Russia pushed ahead Tuesday with plans to annex occupied regions of Ukraine, as Moscow’s puppet authorities set dates to stage referendums on joining Russia — moves that could dramatically escalate the war. – Washington Post

In a major escalation of the war in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin raised the threat of a nuclear response in the conflict in Ukraine and ordered reservists to mobilize, as Moscow seeks to buttress his army’s flagging manpower and regain the offensive following stinging losses on the battlefield. – Wall Street Journal

The referendums, analysts say, would be a prelude to annexation of the territory by Russia — at which point Moscow could declare it would treat any further attacks on those regions, parts of which are still controlled by Ukraine, as an attack on Russia itself, and threaten nuclear retaliation. – New York Times

The United States and its European and Asian allies are at a pivotal point this week on sanctions on Russia and the urgent issue of energy prices as they discuss how to increase punishments on Moscow at the United Nations General Assembly in New York. – New York Times

Attorney General Merrick Garland and his Ukrainian counterpart, Andriy Kostin, signed an agreement Tuesday aimed at formalizing cooperation over joint efforts to prosecute alleged war crimes committed by Russian forces in the war in Ukraine. – Washington Post

Members of the far-right Alternative for Germany party said they were traveling to Russian occupied-areas of eastern Ukraine on Tuesday, providing fodder for pro-Kremlin propaganda as calls are growing in Moscow for swift annexation of large swaths of Ukrainian territory. – Washington Post

President Joe Biden is ready to make the case to world leaders at the U.N. General Assembly that Russia’s “naked aggression” in Ukraine is an affront to the heart of what the international body stands for as he looks to rally allies to stand firm in backing the Ukrainian resistance. – Associated Press

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday blasted what he described as U.S. efforts to preserve its global domination and ordered officials to boost weapons production amid the fighting in Ukraine. – Associated Press

This city in far eastern Ukraine was among the first taken by Russian forces after the war started on Feb. 24, and it became a command center for them. By early March, Izium was isolated — no cell phones, no heat, no power. Residents didn’t know what was going on in the war, whether their relatives were alive, whether there was still a Ukraine. – Associated Press

French President Emanuel Macron admonished countries Tuesday not to stay neutral about condemning Russia’s war in Ukraine as he declared that Moscow’s invasion amounts to a new form of imperialism. – Associated Press

Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro on Tuesday repeated his willingness to foster negotiations to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, calling for a ceasefire but renouncing sanctions and economic isolation. – Associated Press

Russia’s Kremlin-controlled lower house of parliament on Tuesday approved legislation that toughens punishment for soldiers breaching their duties, in an apparent effort to boost discipline in the ranks amid the fighting in Ukraine. – Associated Press

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin ordered an increase in funding to boost the country’s weapons production in a televised address to the nation on Wednesday in which he ordered a “partial mobilisation” to support Moscow’s war effort in Ukraine. – Reuters

Planned referendums in occupied regions of Ukraine to join Russia are “unacceptable” and Canada would never recognize such territories as part of Russia, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Tuesday. – Reuters

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky was quite clear when he spoke to former U.S. President Bill Clinton on Tuesday. When the United States ponies up more weapons and ammunitions for Ukraine, other nations will follow, Zelensky said. – Newsweek

Russian President Vladimir Putin is pulling paratroopers from Syria to replenish troops in Ukraine, Kyiv officials said Tuesday. – Newsweek

Vladimir Putin is going “all in” to turn the Ukraine war into a conflict with NATO, an ally of the Russian president said ahead of referendums later this month on joining Russia in four occupied regions. – Newsweek

The White House will “never” recognize any territory Russia annexes from Ukraine as legitimate parts of Russia, national security adviser Jake Sullivan said on Tuesday following announcements that referendums in Russian-occupied territories could take place as early as this week. – Washington Examiner

David Ignatius writes: For the Biden administration, the United Nations’ new energy validates a strategy to reengage the international organization after years of U.S. frustration and neglect. A senior State Department official explained that the administration reckoned that U.N. agencies still had a “unique capability” to deal with problems if they were mobilized, and that “we can’t do it alone” in responding to global crises. – Washington Post

Holman W. Jenkins, Jr. writes: Ukraine’s obvious knack, to the lowliest foot soldier, is for the inventive, multidisciplinary warfare (including the information war) that prevails in the 21st century. Even Mr. Putin must be getting the picture, and the risk it portends of more defeats coming—perhaps explaining why he increasingly shuts out Russia’s formal military leadership in favor of consulting with his mercenary bosses. – Wall Street Journal

William A. Galston writes: Experts and ordinary citizens alike care about defending a peaceful world order in which dictators don’t change boundaries by force of arms and don’t suppress peoples’ desires for self-government. The American response to the invasion of Ukraine proves that this idealism remains at the core of our national identity and that we can’t conduct a viable foreign policy without acknowledging its enduring impact. – Wall Street Journal

Leonid Bershidsky writes: It’s also worth recalling that, for all their superior populist skill and strong rapport with millions of their compatriots, neither Hitler nor Mussolini ended up ruling the world — or even successfully defending Germany’s and Italy’s place in it. As a less competent fuehrer, Putin risks doing at least as badly for Russia. – Bloomberg

David Lingelbach and Valentina Rodríguez Guerra write: We remain skeptical that Putin is on the verge of losing power. Despite the serious blows he has suffered, Putin remains one of the most consequential oligarchs of the post-World War II era. Global uncertainty remains high, an ideal environment for oligarchs like Putin to exploit. The war seems likely to go on for a long time, and Russia, while cowed, is unlikely to give up easily. And that Russia — its hands covered with innocent blood — will likely be led by those who do not fear that blood. Leaders like Putin. – The Hill


Israeli officials fear that the black-market AK-47s, pistols, Kalashnikovs and M16s on display in the Jenin refugee camp will be directed at Israelis during the Jewish holidays that begin next week, as they brace for a new chapter of violent Palestinian resistance. – Washington Post

Palestinian security forces exchanged fire with militants in the center of the West Bank’s second-largest city Tuesday as angry residents pelted an armored jeep with objects and chased it away. One man was reported dead. – Associated Press

Palestinian terror must be halted before the start of the Jewish New Year next week, Prime Minster Yair Lapid told King Abdullah when the two men met in New York on Tuesday on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. – Jerusalem Post

An agreement has been reached to end the violence in the West Bank city of Nablus, representatives of several Palestinian factions announced early Wednesday. – Jerusalem Post

The first conference centered on the concerns of food scarcity and climate with signatories to the Abraham Accords will be held in the southern city of Eilat next month in an effort to increase economic and agricultural ties between Israel and its Arab and Mediterranean neighbors. – Times of Israel

Salem Alketbi writes: This is not about democratic or republican governments or who governs Israel but about coordination between two states that develops at a steady pace that can evolve or relatively slow down under the influence of the chemistry of personal relations between heads of state. But they remain fixed lines that will not be crossed downward, regardless of the circumstances and reasons. – Jerusalem Post

Yossi Yehoshua writes: The current wave of violence is characterized by disorganized terror, with operatives who have been incited by social networks, hoping to become social media stars and local heroes. But you have to admit, they are less experienced than the terrorists the IDF and Shin Bet are used to fighting, and therefore, less methodical. – Ynet

Elisha Ben Kimon writes: This is the reason for Israel’s dilemma whether to expand the operations in the West Bank or not. The Israeli security forces continue to operate in the area, but they are currently limited to small sectors, and no major change seems to be forthcoming in the wake of these operations. A widespread campaign, however, would include bolstering of forces in Jenin and Nablus, constant military presence, blockades, sieges and more. A downside to such an operation would be inevitable enlistment of the Palestinian street to the fight against the IDF, which means violent riots, putting soldiers’ lives at risk. Ynet

Jeffrey Goldberg writes: For Lapid to stay prime minister, he must gain the support of at least 61 members of the Knesset. As of this moment, Netanyahu has a slight advantage, because he is open to forming alliances with ultra-Orthodox parties and with an extremist consortium led by the radical right-wing lawyer Itamar Ben-Gvir, who polls suggest could gain as many as 10 or 12 seats. One of Lapid’s main tasks before November 1 is to persuade the broad middle of the Israeli electorate to shun parties that play to existential fears. – The Atlantic


A U.S. court has ordered the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah to pay millions of dollars in damages to a group of Americans who sued saying they were wounded by the group’s rockets during a war with Israel in 2006. – Associated Press

As Hezbollah continues to threaten Israel’s gas rigs, the Israeli Navy and the Defense Ministry’s Directorate of Research and Development (MAFAT) successfully tested the Gabriel 5 surface-to-surface missile. – Jerusalem Post

Zvi Bar’el writes: The violent awakening in the West Bank could show that the West Bank has internalized the lessons Hamas and Hezbollah taught Israel, according to which only a balance of deterrence and fear can pay dividends. – Haaretz


German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Tuesday said he was “very irritated” about Turkey’s attempts to join a Central Asian security body dominated by Russia and China. – Reuters

Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan met on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly on Tuesday for the first face-to-face talks between leaders of the U.S.-allied nations since 2008, Lapid’s office said. – Reuters

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan told Reuters on Tuesday that he has received “positive” feedback from two U.S. senators he met in New York on their potential support for the sale of F-16 fighter jets to his government. – Reuters

Turkey’s leader, overseeing a nation encircled by regional disputes, used his speech at the U.N. General Assembly on Tuesday to shine a spotlight on Turkish maneuvering in conflicts that span from Syria to Ukraine. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s speech comes as Turkey is beset by staggeringly high inflation — officially at 80%, but more than double that, analysts say. – Associated Press


Crisis-hit Lebanon hopes to adopt key reforms demanded by the International Monetary Fund for a long-delayed but urgently needed bailout before the end of next month if there is “political will”, Lebanon’s caretaker economy minister said Tuesday. – Associated Press

“If this deal goes through it carries mutual benefit. As for Lebanon, it would clear the way for exploration in Lebanon’s promising southern waters and as soon as Lebanon will start producing gas from this area, it will have something to lose and it will think twice before provoking Israel,” Prof. Chorev said. – Arutz Sheva

Iranian officials told a Lebanese technical delegation visiting Tehran on Tuesday that Iran could offer Lebanon 600,000 tons of fuel over five months to help ease its power shortages, Lebanese TV station Al-Manar reported. – Jerusalem Post

Simon Henderson, Hanin Ghaddar, Matthew Levitt, Ehud Yaari, David Makovsky, David Schenker, and Andrew J. Tabler write: Lebanon’s decision to take over Novatek’s offshore stake could be part of a synchronized move toward an imminent maritime border agreement—one that also allows for Qatar’s entry into the license consortiums. Despite questions about the nature and substance of any agreement involving Lebanon and Israel (whether directly or, more likely, indirectly), the nascent deal appears to have traction, reportedly including significant Israeli concessions on the final boundary line. Yet it remains an open question whether any near-term agreements will serve as a foundation for broader bilateral progress between Israel and Lebanon or collapse within a few months like past deals. – Washington Institute

Gulf States

Israel and Bahrain have begun negotiating a free trade agreement, Israel’s Economy Ministry said on Tuesday. – Reuters

Michael Rubin writes: While American policy is often reactive, it need not be so. While the Barzanis talk tough and generally dismiss American diplomats, when they interact privately with the intelligence community, they act like pussycats. If Director of Central Intelligence Bill Burns or his deputies draw a line right now and let Masrour understand the personal costs he will suffer if anything happens to Nechirvan or certain pro-Talabani competitors, Masrour will likely think twice.  It is a U.S. strategic interest to signal now that Barzani-sponsored political assassinations are a redline. – 19FortyFive

Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco writes: Nevertheless, Saudi Arabia has historically achieved the most when it has acted as a stabilizing force in the region rather than a challenger. Therefore, Riyadh is more likely to garner political clout in regional dynamics by developing cordial working ties with both Tel Aviv and Tehran rather than pursuing its former hawkish and interventionist policy line. Even so, a successful pursuit of this approach may ultimately lead to a situation where Saudi Arabia must pick sides. Whether Saudi Arabia will prioritize its ties with Israel over Iran, or vice versa, depends on how the Saudi leadership will perceive the threats in its surrounding environment and which tools—confrontation or appeasement—it will use to balance against them. – Washington Institute

Middle East & North Africa

As Prime Minister Yair Lapid met with Jordan’s King Abdullah II to discuss escalating violence emanating from the West Bank Tuesday, the two received an unfortunate reminder of the urgency of efforts to calm tensions. – Times of Israel

​​On September 10, 2022 a high-ranking Hamas delegation, led by the head of the movement’s political bureau, Isma’il Haniya, his deputy Saleh Al-‘Arouri and bureau members Moussa Abu Marzouq and Maher Salah, made an official visit to Moscow at the invitation of the Russian foreign ministry. During the visit the Hamas leaders met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his deputy Mikhail Bogdanov, among other Russian officials. The delegation members expressed support for Russia’s positions on various issues, and the Russian officials, for their part, expressed support for Hamas. – Middle East Media Research Institute 

Tom Rogan writes: The United States should welcome this strategy. Israel is a bastion of democracy and prosperity based on the rule of law in a region largely devoid of it. Similarly, Abdullah is a long-standing American friend. Jordan’s GID intelligence service has been instrumental in counter-Islamic State efforts and has saved many Western lives. As Israel attempts to conclude complex negotiations with Lebanon over the development of offshore energy reserves, stability with respect to Jordan takes on even more importance. – Washington Examiner

Jonah Shrock writes: For most Middle Eastern countries, the plus-size 2021 SDR allocation served as a nice bonus rather than a lifesaver. In Saudi Arabia, for example, the government was not in desperate need of liquidity, but the extra assets helped it make large deposits in the central banks of Egypt and Pakistan, expanding the kingdom’s economic influence in both countries. In other cases, governments used the allocation to supplement their existing plans for paying down debt to the IMF. – Washington Institute

Jon B. Alterman writes: The U.S. military is wise not to sharply pivot from the region, despite pressure to focus on the Pacific—where U.S. allies such as Japan and South Korea are already deeply reliant on Middle Eastern energy. The Biden visit to Saudi Arabia in July was a constructive move in this direction, too. Building sustained patterns of cooperation, embracing shared projects, and helping partners diversify their economies is not only smart in terms of a global competition with China, but also in terms of advancing the interests of the United States and its allies. Few Americans have much patience for the Middle East anymore, but patience is exactly what is called for. – Center for Strategic and International Studies

Alon Ushpiz writes: The signing of the Abraham Accords two years ago was a historic, watershed moment for the Middle East, that ushered in a profoundly new chapter for the region. It provided a fresh sense of invigoration that contributed to the growing circle of peaceful nations in the Middle East. Now, as we mark its anniversary, we celebrate this revolutionary peace that the normalization agreements have forged, along with the remarkable accomplishments we have achieved in just two years. – Jerusalem Post

Korean Peninsula

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol stressed the need for wealthy nations to share their advanced technologies and innovations with developing countries, particularly when it comes to closing the education gap and fighting infectious diseases. – Associated Press

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Tuesday renewed his offer to meet North Korea’s reclusive leader Kim Jong Un, as tensions simmer over Pyongyang’s nuclear program. – Agence France-Presse

The U.S. Navy’s Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group will sail to the Korean peninsula at the end of this week and conduct joint exercises with the Korean Navy. The impetus for the exercises? The looming possibility of a North Korean nuclear test. – The National Interest


China is willing to make the utmost effort to strive for a peaceful “reunification” with Taiwan, a Chinese government spokesperson said on Wednesday, following weeks of military manoeuvres and war games by Beijing near the island. – Reuters

Marc A. Thiessen writes: Our commitment to defend NATO allies is the reason Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine but not Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia or Poland. Similarly, removing any ambiguity over whether the United States will defend Taiwan will have a stabilizing effect in the Pacific — sending Chinese dictator Xi Jinping a clear message of deterrence. – Washington Post

Rick Switzer and David Feith write: Policy makers can recognize the challenges of America implementing its own industrial policy without mischaracterizing China’s mission as failed or doomed. Whatever embarrassing failures are hurting China’s semiconductor industry these days, history and strategic prudence show that the U.S. should take Beijing’s ambitions seriously and spend to counter them before it’s too late. – Wall Street Journal

Joseph Bosco writes: What Ukraine’s ambassador to the United States said with strategic clarity of Russia’s war there applies also to Chinese aggression against Taiwan: “It will be much cheaper for the world if we win the war for democracy in Ukraine.” Biden, who just said casually for the fourth time that America will defend Taiwan, would do the world — including China — a favor if he would declare it officially at the U.N. – The Hill

Ilan Berman writes: In other words, for America’s perspective to gain resonance, Washington needs to do a much better job of convincing less prosperous nations that partnering with Beijing is, in fact, a bad bet. That, in turn, requires not just talking about the dangers of the Chinese model, but actually providing viable economic, technological, and political alternatives to it. – Newsweek

South Asia

The United States has welcomed Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s comment to Russian President Vladimir Putin that now was not the time for war, New Delhi’s sharpest public response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. – Reuters

Michael B. Bishku writes: Ties to the countries of the Middle East, with an affinity through religion, is one avenue in that regard, but, just as with its dealings with other countries including the big powers, the Maldives needs to be protective of its sovereignty and to prevent disruptive outside influences; the former objective is largely ensured though a policy of non-alignment, while for latter objective the course is less certain. – Middle East Institute 

Gopi Krishna Bhamidipati and Ariel Ahram write: India’s stance on Russia’s sanctions has been guided more by refinery politics than geopolitics. If successful, however, India’s attempt to reinvent its energy position could have dramatic geopolitical ramifications. India and China are increasingly rivals for the global energy supply. New Delhi has been in a weaker position, with less military might and nothing comparable to the Belt and Road Initiative as a means to assert its commercial power. But reconfiguring its domestic energy structure, upgrading its refining capacity, and expanding its supplies could make India into a formidable competitor in the next round of the global energy race. – The National Interest


Myanmar’s ruling junta on Tuesday warned the public against showing moral support for a “terrorist” resistance movement, threatening jail terms of up to 10 years just for liking or sharing its content on social media. – Reuters

The president of the Marshall Islands on Tuesday welcomed what he called progress towards a new association agreement with the United States, but said it is vital to better address the legacy of U.S. nuclear testing and climate change. – Reuters

British Prime Minister Liz Truss condemned provocations over Taiwan by China in a meeting with her Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida at the United Nations General Assembly, a Downing Street spokesperson said on Tuesday. – Reuters

Kyrgyzstan’s leader said he is prepared to negotiate as long as it takes with Tajikistan to resolve a deadly border dispute, while also vowing his forces would not cede “a centimeter” of land. – Agence France-Presse


Germany will nationalize Uniper, seeking to save the country’s largest gas importer that was hit hard by Russian natural-gas cuts to Europe. – Wall Street Journal

Germany remains committed to phasing out coal as a source of power by 2030 even as it reactivates coal-fired power plants, the country’s climate envoy said Monday. Germany says it took the step to get through the coming winter amid energy shortages as a result of Russia’s war in Ukraine. – Associated Press

French authorities are investigating death threats against a Russian rights activist who exposes abuses in Russian prisons and says he was the target of a possible assassination attempt at his home in France. – Associated Press

Dalibor Rohac writes: Everyone – from the technocrats in Brussels and those concerned about rule of law in Central Europe, to the Biden administration – should take a deep breath. Important as the independence of Polish courts is to the future of the EU, it pales in comparison to Russia’s aggression in Ukraine – or the consequences of Germany’s current fecklessness. For Warsaw too, substantive success in its war effort must take precedence over grandstanding. Here’s to hoping that calmer heads prevail and that Poland plays the part befitting both its place in Europe and the current historical moment. – The Spectator


Forces in Ethiopia’s Tigray region said troops from neighbouring Eritrea started a full-scale offensive on Tuesday and heavy fighting was taking place in several areas along the border. – Reuters

The U.S. special envoy for the Horn of Africa said on Tuesday the United States was aware of Eritrean troops crossing into Ethiopia’s Tigray region and condemned it. – Reuters

Ethiopia rejected a report by UN investigators that accused Addis Ababa of possible ongoing crimes against humanity in its war-torn Tigray region, including using starvation as a weapon. – Agence France-Presse

Michael Rubin writes: Certainly, Liberians deserve better. Weah and his delegation are free to enjoy their hotel and attend the United Nations, but they should not treat Manhattan as a shopping junket while they neglect ordinary Liberians. At the same time, U.S. policy should go further. The broader international community must observe and guarantee the sanctity of elections so that Weah does not undermine the ballot, and both the United States and Europe should outline the investment and partnership in which they are willing to engage should Liberians elect a leader who places rule-of-law above personal enrichment. – 19FortyFive

Latin America

Brazil’s leftist presidential front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is set to meet with the top U.S. diplomat in the country on Wednesday, less then two weeks before the first-round vote in the country’s most fraught election in years. – Reuters

Venezuela’s state security agencies use arbitrary arrests and torture, which represent crimes against humanity, to repress the country’s opposition in a plan directed by President Nicolas Maduro, according to a United Nations report published on Tuesday. – Reuters

Colombian President Gustavo Petro called on Latin American countries to join forces to end the war on drugs during a speech to the United Nations General Assembly in New York on Tuesday. – Reuters

A federal judge in Miami has awarded $73 million in damages to the family of a prominent opponent of Venezuela’s socialist government who died while in custody in what he described as a “murder for hire” carried out by a criminal enterprise led by President Nicolás Maduro. – Associated Press

Eduardo Porter writes: The question is whether the champions of Latin America’s left — Lula and Boric, Argentina’s Alberto Fernandez and Gustavo Petro in Colombia; Luis Arce in Bolivia or Pedro Castillo in Peru can deliver the kind of broad-based growth needed to meet the challenge. If not, expect soon to see a bluish wave moving in across the region from the right. – Bloomberg


The Commerce Department unit that approves sensitive U.S. technology exports does not have the intelligence resources to fully realize the national security consequences of selling advanced equipment and software to China. – CyberScoop

Experts warned members of Congress against a myopic focus on the illicit role of cryptocurrencies, instead pointing to how payment apps developed in China and Russia pose a national security threat. – CyberScoop

A “limited number” of American Airlines’ employees’ email accounts were compromised by an “unauthorized actor,” who had potential access to a range of those employees’ personal data, the company said in a disclosure Sept. 16. – CyberScoop


Successful military operations must move beyond data collection to focus on rapid and thorough analysis of information streams, according to the U.S. Space Force director of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance. – Defense News

The International Donor Coordination Center, or IDCC, one of the U.S. military’s top data minds is developing machine learning algorithms to predict Ukraine’s ammo and repair needs, rather than just react to them. But an older problem persists, according to the Defense Department’s inspector general: the Pentagon isn’t doing enough to keep track of what’s going where. – Defense One

The US Air Force is set to lift the veil of secrecy around the B-21 Raider, its highly-classified, next-generation stealth bomber, with a formal rollout planned for the first week in December. – Breaking Defense

USS Higgins (DDG-76) conducted a Taiwan Strait transit on Tuesday, the Navy announced. Higgins performed the transit in cooperation with Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class frigate HMCS Vancouver (FFH-331), according to a Tuesday Navy news release. – Breaking Defense