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Syrian villagers bristle at Israeli incursions Gaza captors tortured hostages, including minors, Israeli report says JPost Editorial: Jerusalem’s stability shaken: Rockets from Yemen and Gaza could mark new phase in war Iran detains prominent Italian journalist Cecilia Sala In bomb-scarred cities, risking life and limb to get civilians to safety Behind the dismantling of Hezbollah: decades of Israeli intelligence In Syria, U.S. hopes to avoid replay of Afghanistan Syria's de facto leader says holding elections could take up to four years AEI’s Michael Rubin: Washington must address Turks’ ignorance and detachment from reality China has limited firepower to counter U.S. tariffs WSJ Editorial: How Europe cripples its defenses The progressive moment in global politics is overIn The News
Israel
The neat rows of prefabricated tan houses pressed up against the Negev Desert look like an oasis of calm. Families are settling into new homes. Children play basketball and skip rope as the sun goes down. But the newest arrivals to this kibbutz aren’t yet at peace. They are the survivors of Kibbutz Be’eri, one of the hardest-hit communities in Hamas’s attack of Oct. 7, 2023. – Wall Street Journal
As the Assad regime collapsed this month, Israel’s military swiftly seized control over the border area with Syria—moving to disarm nearby villages to create a security buffer. Now, some of these villages are pushing back against what they fear could become a prolonged Israeli occupation. – Wall Street Journal
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel will undergo surgery to have his prostate removed Sunday after he was diagnosed with a urinary tract infection earlier in the week, his office said in a statement Saturday. – New York Times
Even as mediators try to secure a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hamas, Palestinians and human rights organizations say the humanitarian situation is getting more desperate. In the 14 months since Israel launched its invasion of Gaza in response to the Hamas-led terror attack on Israel, military bombardments have turned cities into rubble-filled wastelands and 90 percent of the population of about 2.1 million has been displaced at least once. Winter is adding to the misery. – New York Times
The Israeli military forced patients and staff members to leave one of the last functioning hospitals in northern Gaza on Friday, leaving health officials in the territory concerned for the people who had been getting treatment there amid continued fighting. – New York Times
The head of the World Health Organization on Monday called for an end to attacks on hospitals in Gaza after Israel struck one and raided another in the past few days. – Reuters
Israeli forces carrying out a weeks-long offensive in northern Gaza ordered any residents remaining in Beit Hanoun to leave the town on Sunday, citing Palestinian militant rocket fire from the area, residents said. – Reuters
Hostages held in Gaza were subjected to torture, including sexual and psychological abuse, starvation, burns and medical neglect, according to a new report by the Israeli Health Ministry that will be submitted to the United Nations this week. – Reuters
Seven people were killed and others seriously wounded in an Israeli strike on the upper floor of Al-Wafaa hospital in the centre of Gaza city on Sunday, the Palestinian civil defence said. – Reuters
Israeli forces detained more than 240 Palestinians including dozens of medical staff from a north Gaza hospital they raided on Friday, including its director, according to the Health Ministry in the enclave and Israel’s military. – Reuters
Israeli jets struck seven crossing points along the Syria-Lebanon border on Friday, aiming to cut the flow of weapons to the Iranian-backed Hezbollah group in southern Lebanon. – Reuters
The son of a founding member of Hamas has warned Israel must not “rejuvenate” the terrorist group by releasing its most dangerous members – including his father – from jail as part of a hostage deal. – The Telegraph
A Palestinian journalist was shot dead overnight at the Jenin refugee camp in the West Bank, with her family on Sunday accusing the Palestinian Authority’s security forces of killing her while she was with her mother and two small children. – Agence France-Presse
After concluding its activities in Rafah last week, the IDF’s Nahal Brigade began operations against terror targets in Beit Hanoun, in northern Gaza, following intelligence regarding the presence of terrorist infrastructure and operatives in the area, the military stated on Saturday morning. – Jerusalem Post
Hamas called on all components of Palestinian society to mobilize in order to confront the Palestinian Authority’s (PA) “unprecedented” level of “aggression” against it and other terror groups in the West Bank, the terror group confirmed in a Friday press release. – Jerusalem Post
Hamas was monitoring local Israeli leaders, security officers, and individual communities near the border with the Gaza Strip for at least seven years before carrying out its brutal October 7, 2023, massacre, a television news report revealed on Sunday evening. – Times of Israel
Editorial: This development is particularly concerning as Jerusalem had stood as a relative island of stability during recent months of regional tension. The breaking of this calm through a multifront assault represents more than just another security incident – it potentially signals the opening of a new phase in the ongoing conflict, one where our enemies demonstrate both the capability and willingness to target a sort of no-man’s-land when it comes to aerial action. The implications extend far beyond the immediate security concerns. Such an escalation, if left unchecked, could embolden other hostile actors in the region to join in similar efforts. – Jerusalem Post
Editorial: Staying in Lebanon, if necessary, reinforces this stance. The days when Israel ignores actions inimical to its interests and security taking place just across the border – especially actions prohibited by international agreements – are over. This message is not only intended for Israel’s enemies. It is also for its own citizens. Only such resolve can assure the displaced residents of northern Israel that it is safe to return home. – Jerusalem Post
Seth Cropsey writes: Creating this strategy will take time. An Israeli attack on Iran directly, whether against the nuclear program or other critical targets in the country, will help set the parameters for U.S. policy towards Iran, and open other possibilities for American action to end the radical clerics’ rule. The departing Biden administration can be counted on to oppose any effort by Israel to topple Iran, the source of the warfare that has engulfed the Middle East since Oct. 7, 2023. But Trump possesses a clearer understanding, and his administration should welcome a new approach, one that redefines maximum pressure on Iran. – The Hill
Seth Mandel writes: FEWS would not be the first, nor will it be the last, such humanitarian agency to detonate science and truth in the name of anti-Israel activist politics. That is, in fact, becoming the norm. But unlike, say, UNRWA or the Red Cross in Gaza, FEWS has not been coopted by Hamas. Sadly, it didn’t have to be—it volunteered itself as a sacrifice to Hamas’s cause. And that’s even worse. – Commentary Magazine
Seth Mandel writes: Gaza, meanwhile, was doomed from the start because even a Hamas victory—which would mean its outlasting of Israel’s determination and its accumulation of enough international support to hold its legitimacy as rulers of Gaza—would be a disaster for Gazan civilians. Hamas essentially rigged the Gaza Strip to blow up, then lit the fuse, because it had already built a second Gaza for itself underground. But Hamas is on the ropes as well, bringing some measure of justice for what the terror group has done to Gaza and to Israel. – Commentary Magazine
Iran
Iran has detained one of Italy’s best-known journalists, Cecilia Sala, in Tehran, raising fears that Iranian authorities might be holding her as leverage in their dealings with the West—an increasingly common tactic by authoritarian regimes. – Wall Street Journal
Iran, bracing for a possible re-imposition of incoming U.S. president Donald Trump’s “maximum pressure” policy, said on Saturday that 2025 would be an important year for its nuclear issue. – Reuters
A suicide bomber killed the head of police intelligence in Iran’s southern port city of Bandar Lengeh on Saturday, Iranian state media reported. – Reuters
Iran’s paramilitary forces reportedly plotted to kidnap an Iranian-Israeli journalist by luring him to Turkey and then smuggling him into Iran, but abandoned the plan when an intermediary they recruited to participate in the plot refused to participate. – Times of Israel
Business owners and employees in Tehran’s historic bazaar staged a rare strike on Sunday against runaway inflation and soaring foreign currency rates, spurring protests in other commercial hubs in the capital. – Iran International
An IRGC general has accused some among the public of “aiding the Americans” against the Islamic government, as Tehran faces mounting economic challenges and deals with its recent setbacks in the region. – Iran International
Dan Diker writes: Regime manipulation and antisemitism signal a last-ditch effort to mobilize the Iranian public against its vulnerable Jewish community. Iran is today naked, vulnerable, and more desperate than at any time since its rise to power in 1979. The Arab world views Israel and the incoming Trump administration as the strong horses of the Middle East. A resurgence of a US maximum pressure campaign can help tip the scale. Now is the time for the Iranian people to topple the regime and pave a new pathway to a free, democratic, and unified state. – Jerusalem Post
Russia & Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin apologized Saturday that a “tragic incident occurred in Russia’s airspace,” the Kremlin said, acknowledging a role in the crash of a plane carrying 67 people, but stopping short of an expression of responsibility. – Wall Street Journal
As the deadly Russian march forward intensifies, most Ukrainians are running for their lives. While some are loyal to President Vladimir V. Putin and welcome the white, blue and red flag hoisted here, the majority of those left behind are elderly, disabled and poor, with no means of relocating. Helping them to safety is the White Angels’ job, and as the front line shifts, its urgency is rising. – New York Times
With much fanfare, Ukraine was granted permission to fire Western long-range missiles at Russian military targets more than a month ago. But after initially firing a flurry of them, Ukraine has already slowed their use. – New York Times
North Korean troops deployed in Russia’s Kursk region are suffering heavy losses and being left unprotected by the Russian forces they are fighting alongside, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Friday. – Reuters
Russia will scrap a moratorium on the deployment of intermediate and shorter range nuclear-capable missiles because the United States has deployed such weapons in various regions around the world, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Sunday. – Reuters
Eugene Spector, a U.S. citizen jailed for a total of 15 years this week after a Moscow court convicted him of espionage, was found guilty of passing biotechnology secrets to the United States, Russia’s FSB security service said on Friday. – Reuters
A Russian man arrested for allegedly running a travel agency for gay customers was found dead in custody in Moscow, rights group OVD-Info reported Sunday, amid a crackdown on LGBTQ+ rights in Russia. – Associated Press
Matthew Bondy writes: Former President John F. Kennedy was right when he said that nations “should never negotiate out of fear, but should never fear to negotiate.” The chance for peace in Ukraine shouldn’t be brushed off lightly, but neither should justice be forgotten or an unstable peace be bought at an exorbitant price. If Putin tries to take too much land, refuses to allow a NATO security guarantee to remaining Ukrainian territory, or prefers war to the loss of frozen assets, the cost of such a peace may be too high. – The Hill
Tom Rogan writes: While he might get some weaker minds to dance to his nuclear threat waltz, Putin is ultimately an ambitious but rational imperialist. He is not a lunatic. Where he finds restraint, Putin’s malicious behavior can be deterred. The world should take example from Finland. In face of blatant Russian aggression the appropriate response is not to dither in ad infinitum national security council meetings or issue diplomatic ripostes. Instead, it is to respond with decisive action of a manner and intent that leaves the Kremlin with no doubt that it has overplayed its hand. – The Hill
Anton Grushetskyi and Volodymyr Paniotto write: Even as Ukrainians have navigated the ups and downs of the war, they have remained broadly optimistic about their future. Only 19 percent of Ukrainians believe that ten years from now their economy will be destroyed and many more of their compatriots will have fled. Most Ukrainians still believe that in ten years Ukraine will be a prosperous country within the EU. The war may have slightly diminished Ukrainian optimism about the future, but, contrary to Moscow’s aims, the invasion has also made the country more united—and more resolved to move away from Russia and toward the West. – Foreign Affairs
Ramzy Mardini writes: For the sake of Ukraine’s people, the practical and moral course is to shift toward a policy of accommodation with Russia, abandoning unproductive attempts to negotiate from an unattainable position of strength. Neither escalation nor time is on Ukraine’s side. The new administration must understand the intransigence of this reality, recognize Russia’s security concerns, and seriously engage with its terms for ending its war on Ukraine. The pill will surely be a bitter one to swallow now, but its bitterness will only grow with time. – National Interest
Hezbollah
Right up until he was assassinated, Hassan Nasrallah did not believe that Israel would kill him.As he hunkered inside a Hezbollah fortress 40 feet underground on Sept. 27, his aides urged him to go to a safer location. – New York Times
A fragile cease-fire between Israel and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah has largely held for a month now, halting the deadliest war in years between the two sides and injecting a measure of calm into a region in turmoil. – New York Times
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi said Sunday that the military had won a “clear victory” over Hezbollah, but that “true victory” would be achieved only when Israel’s north is revived. – Times of Israel
Afghanistan
Mr. Lin, 43, is part of a small but growing vanguard of venturesome tourists making their way to Afghanistan, disregarding dire warnings issued by their governments. The State Department advises Americans not to travel to Afghanistan “due to terrorism, risk of wrongful detention, civil unrest, kidnapping and crime.” – New York Times
Afghan Taliban forces targeted “several points” in neighbouring Pakistan, Afghanistan’s defence ministry said on Saturday, days after Pakistani aircraft carried out aerial bombardment inside Afghanistan. – Reuters
The Taliban says it will close all national and foreign nongovernmental groups in Afghanistan employing women. It comes two years after they told NGOs to suspend the employment of Afghan women, allegedly because they didn’t wear the Islamic headscarf correctly. – Associated Press
Syria
More than a decade of civil war left Syria’s economy in shambles. The country lost billions of dollars in oil exports. Inflation forced Syrians to carry massive wads of cash to pay for basic necessities, and nearly one-third of the country was estimated to suffer from extreme poverty. – Wall Street Journal
Syria’s new administration has stepped up its campaign to track down and arrest members of the ousted Assad dictatorship, signaling that it would act with a heavy hand against people it claims are challenging its ability to impose law and order. – New York Times
As U.S. officials engage with the rebel group now in control of Syria, they are mindful of a painful episode in recent U.S. foreign policy whose consequences continue to unfold: the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan. – New York Times
Holding elections in Syria could take up to four years, Syria’s de facto leader Ahmed al-Sharaa said in remarks broadcast on Sunday, the first time he has commented on a possible electoral timetable since Bashar al-Assad was ousted this month. – Reuters
Rifaat al-Assad, an uncle of the ousted Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad charged in Switzerland with war crimes over the bloody suppression of a revolt in 1982, has flown from Beirut to Dubai in recent days, two Lebanese security officials said on Friday. – Reuters
The newly appointed head of intelligence services in Syria said the country’s security institution will be restructured after all current security entities are dissolved, the state news agency reported on Saturday. – Reuters
Turkey’s foreign minister discussed with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Saturday the need to act in cooperation with the new Syrian administration to ensure the completion of the transition period in an orderly manner, the ministry said. – Reuters
Turkey is ready to supply electricity to Syria and Lebanon and a team of government officials is already in Syria working on how to resolve its energy issues, Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said. – Reuters
Syria was once home to one of the world’s largest Jewish communities. Those numbers have shrunk dramatically, especially after the state of Israel was created in 1948. Today, only nine Jews live in Syria, according to the head of the community, almost all older men and women. The community believes that no Syrian Jews will remain in the country in a few years. – Associated Press
Turkey
The jailed leader of Turkey’s outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), Abdullah Ocalan, has been quoted as indicating he may be prepared to call for militants to lay down arms, after a key ally of President Tayyip Erdogan urged him to end the group’s decades-old insurgency. – Reuters
Turkey has decided to allow parliament’s pro-Kurdish DEM Party to hold face-to-face talks with militant leader Abdullah Ocalan on his island prison, the party said on Friday, setting up the first such visit in nearly a decade. – Reuters
Turkey announced on Sunday a $14 billion regional development plan that aims to reduce the economic gap between its mainly Kurdish southeast region and the rest of the country. – Reuters
Thousands of people protested in Turkey’s capital Ankara on Saturday to demand a bigger hike in the minimum wage, chanting slogans calling on the government to resign and waving the opposition and national flags. – Reuters
Turkey’s President Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday that there would be more interest rate cuts in 2025 after the central bank cut its key rate by 250 basis points to 47.5% this week. – Reuters
Michael Rubin writes: During the Cold War, families huddled around radios at great personal risk to listen to Voice of America or RFE/RL. They understood the Soviet Union was rotten, and the Kremlin lied to them. The “I” in the DIME was a critical component in the West’s ultimate victory over the forces of totalitarianism. Turkey may be a tougher nut to crack since many Turks remain ignorant and dangerously detached from reality, but regional security requires the West to try to penetrate the bubble. The alternative is to have Turkey descend further into terror sponsorship, genocide incitement, and ultimately, armed conflict. – Middle East Forum
Lebanon
Lebanon expelled around 70 Syrian officers and soldiers on Saturday, returning them to Syria after they crossed into the country illegally via informal routes, a Lebanese security official and a war monitor said. – Reuters
Iraq will allow the national carrier to resume flights to Lebanon on Monday following their suspension earlier this month, the transport minister was quoted as saying by state media on Saturday. – Reuters
Syria’s embassy in Lebanon suspended consular services Saturday, a day after two relatives of deposed Syrian President Bashar Assad were arrested at the Beirut airport with allegedly forged passports. – Associated Press
Lebanese authorities have arrested Abdul Rahman al-Qaradawi, an Egyptian opposition activist wanted by Cairo and son of the late spiritual leader of the Muslim Brotherhood, a Lebanese judicial official told AFP on Sunday. – Agence France-Presse
Yemen
Israel is preparing to fight along a new front against Houthi militants in Yemen, striking back at the group for its drone and missile attacks and signaling a potential lengthy campaign that would take the battle far from Israel’s borders. – Washington Post
For years, the Houthis were the enemy most Israelis didn’t know they had. Now the Iranian-backed militia that controls much of northern Yemen, over a thousand miles from Israel, is keeping them up at night — literally — with a string of attacks on Israeli soil. – New York Times
An advanced U.S. military anti-missile system was used in Israel to try to intercept a projectile for the first time since President Joe Biden placed the system in Israel in October, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters on Friday. – Reuters
Israel’s recent strikes in Yemen were effective, but to neutralize the Houthis long-term, the Iranian supply line into Yemen must be shut down, Prof. Amatzia Baram emphasized in a Friday interview with Maariv. – Jerusalem Post
Middle East & North Africa
Billed as a futuristic city-state with dazzling architecture including parallel 106-mile-long skyscrapers taller than the Empire State Building, Neom is the centerpiece of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s plans to transform his oil-rich country into a modern diversified economy. – Wall Street Journal
Egypt said on Saturday it had successfully tested a new 10 km channel near the southern end of the Suez Canal, even as its revenue from the waterway has plunged since Yemen’s Houthi militants began attacking vessels in the Red Sea. – Reuters
Egypt’s state grain buyer, Mostakbal Misr for Sustainable Development, has locked in enough wheat to meet the country’s needs through the end of June 2025, two sources with direct knowledge told Reuters. – Reuters
A gas explosion killed three police officers as maintenance work was being performed at Egypt’s police academy in Cairo on Sunday night, the country’s interior ministry said in a statement on social media. – Reuters
Eric R. Mandel writes: In America, the foreign policy pendulum has swung to the isolationist side, which risks missing an opportunity to advance our regional interests. We can learn from the mistakes of nation-building in Iraq while working with the people of the region who want to be our allies. This is a path forward for U.S. foreign policy. Those Syrian rebel enthusiasts would be wise to listen to the lyrics of the rock band The Who, “Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.” Under a new administration, America should help the Middle East learn to sing a new tune. – The Hill
Korean Peninsula
International investigators worked to pinpoint what caused the fiery crash of a South Korean passenger plane that killed nearly all of the 181 people on board, in one of the deadliest aviation disasters in years. – Wall Street Journal
South Korea’s acting President Choi Sang-mok ordered an emergency safety inspection on Monday of the country’s entire airline operation system as investigators worked to identify victims and find out what caused the deadliest air disaster in the country. – Reuters
South Korean investigators have sought an arrest warrant for suspended President Yoon Suk Yeol over this month’s short-lived imposition of martial law, an official said on Monday, the first time an incumbent president has faced such action. – Reuters
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un held a key policy-setting meeting of the country’s ruling party last week ahead of the new year, state media KCNA reported on Sunday. – Reuters
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has celebrated the completion of a new fish farm in the east coast and called for developing rural areas, state media KCNA said on Monday, amid concerns over chronic economic challenges. – Reuters
Dmitri Alperovitch and Sergey Radchenko write: Mr. Kim has repeatedly rebuffed overtures from the Biden administration. Even if he engages with Mr. Trump, the North’s leader is likely to be a problematic partner who will seek his own advantage above all to maximize his leverage. But that is not necessarily a bad thing. It at least weakens his dependence on China and Russia and pokes a hole in the authoritarian coalition. Challenging times call for bold moves. And if Mr. Trump can tap once again into his personal connection with Mr. Kim, it could lead to an outcome that eases North Korean insecurities, creates better regional stability and undermines America’s nascent coalition of adversaries. – New York Times
Robert E. Kelly and Min-hyung Kim write: Washington’s moves have failed to resolve the core security problems that a South Korean program can redress: North Korea’s relentless march toward ever more powerful weapons of mass destruction and the United States’ unreliability in (and likely after) the Trump era. The United States itself would never tolerate the nuclear vulnerability South Korea now experiences. Rather than insisting that its ally remain imperiled, Washington should drop its barriers to Seoul’s finding its own way to security. – Foreign Affairs
China
In the weeks since the election, China has flaunted the ways in which it could hit back at the U.S. in the event of a new trade war with the U.S., including everything from choking off the metals needed for everyday products to punishing American companies that do business in China. – Wall Street Journal
For the past year and a half, senior Treasury officials have met with their Chinese counterparts almost once every other month. Whether an incoming Trump team will keep such channels of dialogue going is now up in the air. – Wall Street Journal
A Chinese court imposed a death sentence on a man who killed 35 people by ramming a car into a crowd in southern China, an attack that spurred government efforts to tamp down social unrest. – Wall Street Journal
Images of advanced aircraft cruising at low altitudes in China on Thursday have surprised analysts, who say they could mark the maiden flights of sixth-generation fighter jets, representing a major breakthrough for the country’s military. – Washington Post
China will reduce import tariffs on ethane and certain recycled copper and aluminium raw materials from next year, the government said on Saturday. – Reuters
David Fickling writes: At this stage of development, a country’s economy should be growing faster than its power consumption, as service industries take over from heavy manufacturing to drive growth. The fact that this isn’t happening is a disaster both for China, and the eight billion people who live on this planet. Compared to the challenge of reforming China’s out-of-control industrial model, building the world’s biggest dam through an active earthquake zone on the roof of the world looks like child’s play. – Bloomberg
South Asia
State-run Indian refiner Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL.NS) is buying Middle Eastern crude to make up for less supply of cheaper Russian oil, its head of finance Vetsa Ramakrishna Gupta said in a recent interview. – Reuters
India on Friday extended its mandate for imported coal-based power plants to operate at full capacity until Feb. 28, a government circular showed. – Reuters
Authorities in India have declared a seven-day mourning period to honor Manmohan Singh, officials said Friday, as politicians and public paid tributes to the country’s former prime minister widely regarded as the architect of India’s economic reform program. – Associated Press
Asia
Azerbaijan Airlines said “physical and technical external interference” was the cause of a crash this week that killed 38 people flying to southern Russia, the closest officials have come to confirming mounting suspicions that the plane was downed by a Russian air-defense system. – Wall Street Journal
In fiery speeches, the newly elected president of the Maldives pledged to expel Indian troops stationed in his island nation. He was instead friendly with China, India’s regional rival, and sought to sign a military assistance pact with Beijing. By January 2024, agents working at the behest of India’s intelligence agency, the Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), began quietly discussing with Maldivian opposition leaders the possibility of removing Muizzu, according to people involved in the discussions. And within weeks, a plan emerged. – Washington Post
Malaysia’s attorney-general’s office said all petitions for prisoners in Malaysia to serve their sentences under house arrest, including jailed former Prime Minister Najib Razak, must be submitted to the pardons board chaired by the country’s king. – Reuters
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. signed the 2025 budget into law on Monday, saying a planned 10% increase in government spending to a record 6.33 trillion pesos ($109.2 billion) would support economic growth and reduce poverty. – Reuters
Japan’s cabinet approved a new $55.13 billion defense budget on Friday, marking the 13th consecutive year that Tokyo has increased defensing spending. – USNI News
Europe
A former soccer star and conservative critic of the West was sworn in on Sunday as the new president of Georgia, a strategically important republic in the middle of the Caucasus, replacing a head of state who vowed to continue fighting to steer the country closer to Europe. – New York Times
Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and a close adviser to President-elect Donald J. Trump, shocked many in Germany last week by endorsing its far-right Alternative for Germany party, which is under surveillance by domestic intelligence for being extremist. – New York Times
A day after the Finnish authorities seized an oil tanker suspected of severing vital undersea cables, NATO said on Friday that it would step up security in northern seas and the European Union threatened new sanctions against Russia amid growing concern about a covert campaign to sabotage European infrastructure. – New York Times
Finnish police said on Sunday they had found tracks that drag on for dozens of kilometres along the bottom of the Baltic Sea where a tanker carrying Russian oil is suspected of breaking a power line and four telecoms cables with its anchor. – Reuters
Incumbent president Zoran Milanovic won the most votes in the first round of Croatia’s presidential election on Sunday but fell just short of a majority and will have to go to a second round, results from the State Electoral Commission (DIP) showed. – Reuters
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko pardoned 20 people who were convicted of extremism, state media reported on Saturday. – Reuters
Finnish authorities said on Saturday they are moving an impounded tanker closer to port after boarding the vessel carrying Russian oil earlier this week on suspicion it had damaged an undersea power line and four telecoms cables. – Reuters
President Frank-Walter Steinmeier on Friday dissolved Germany’s lower house of parliament to pave the way for snap elections on Feb. 23 following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-way coalition. – Reuters
The United States on Friday sanctioned Georgian billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili, a former prime minister widely seen as the country’s de facto leader, saying he was undermining democracy and allowing Russia to benefit. – Reuters
Russia’s state-owned energy giant Gazprom said Saturday it will halt gas supplies to Moldova starting on Jan. 1, citing alleged unpaid debt by the European Union candidate country, which has brought in emergency measures as it braces for power cuts. – Associated Press
Finland’s conservative-led government has unveiled a broad plan to lift defense spending from $6.8 billion in 2025 to $11.5 billion in 2032. – Defense News
Editorial: “The exclusion of the defence industry from private funding opportunities could undermine European defence efforts and threatens to put European companies at a competitive disadvantage while posing a security risk for the EU and its Member States, especially in areas like cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and space,” the European Commission report warned. Europe is slowly waking up to global perils. Twenty-three of NATO’s 32 members are now on track to meet the defense-spending standard of 2% of GDP, and some are talking about targets of 3% or more. Yet they’ll need the help of Europe’s private sector, which is indulging in sustainable fantasies at the expense of the continent’s security. – Wall Street Journal
Matthew Brooker writes: But it would be dangerous to be complacent. Those who care for the future of capitalism in the UK should absorb the lessons of overreach and accept that free markets have passed their phase of omniscience. The case for private ownership will be more powerful if it is confined to that bulk of economic life where it is shown to be most effective. Facts do indeed eventually win the debate. – Bloomberg
Kamran Bokhari writes: Lebanon is at risk of internal strife because of the weakening of Hezbollah and, more importantly, the collapse of the Assad regime and the empowerment of Sunni Arab forces under the leadership of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an offshoot of Al Qaeda. Turkey, through its backing of HTS and other Sunni Arab rebel forces, is in a position to replace Iran as the dominant power in Syria. Meanwhile, the latest news out of Paris indicates that Macron may face the loss of his most recently appointed prime minister in the very near term. Despite its long legacy as a liege of the Levant, France lacks the wherewithal to help the Trump administration manage the Middle East effectively. – National Interest
Max Primorac writes: The gas law now goes to the upper chamber, the House of Peoples, where it needs to muster a majority of Muslim, Serb, and Croat deputies, each wielding veto power. Croats are expected to lose that constitutional protection as well, and the country’s High Representative, a European diplomat empowered by Dayton with the final say over all of Bosnia-Herzegovina’s laws. – National Interest
Africa
For nearly a decade, Kenya’s only church led and attended by L.G.B.T.Q. people has been chased out of one location after another. Vandals hit the first location, a center for sex workers, church members said. When they moved to Nairobi’s Central Park, the police arrested them. A city building barred them from entry, and at another site, neighbors attacked them with stones. – New York Times
The largest convoy of food and medical aid to reach Sudan’s battered capital region since the start of the civil war finally arrived this week, the World Food Program said on Friday, bringing some relief to a country where hundreds of thousands of people are on the brink of starvation. – New York Times
Chadians were voting on Sunday in a parliamentary election boycotted by the opposition that will likely consolidate President Mahamat Idriss Deby’s power and complete the oil-producing nation’s transition towards constitutional rule. – Reuters
More than 2,000 Mozambican families have sought refuge in Malawi this week, Malawian authorities said, as dozens of people were reported killed in spreading unrest over a disputed election in October. – Reuters
The United Nations Security Council authorized an African Union stabilisation and support mission in Somalia – known as AUSSOM – on Friday that will replace a larger AU anti-terrorism operation from Jan. 1, 2025. – Reuters
Nigeria’s military has acknowledged that an airstrike targeting a Lakurawa group hideout in the northwestern state of Sokoto had killed 10 civilians due to secondary explosions, army spokesperson Edward Buba said on Friday. – Reuters
Senegal’s Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko waved through next year’s budget, bypassing a parliamentary vote on the 6.4 trillion CFA-franc ($10.2 billion) package. – Bloomberg
The Americas
Brazil has stopped issuing temporary work visas for BYD, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on Friday, in the wake of accusations that some workers at a site owned by the Chinese electric vehicle producer had been victims of human trafficking. – Reuters
Peru’s government on Thursday declared an environmental emergency in a northern coastal area, where state oil firm Petroperu last weekend spilled a crude oil shipment into surrounding waters of the Pacific Ocean. – Reuters
Guatemala said it is open to engaging in a “constructive and respectful dialogue” with the new administration of incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, though no agreement has been made on accepting deported migrants. – Reuters
Venezuelan authorities are investigating a detained member of Argentina’s Gendarmeria national security force for links to international right-wing terrorism, Venezuela’s attorney general announced on Friday. – Reuters
The Argentine diplomatic residence in Caracas, where five members of the Venezuelan opposition are staying to avoid arrest, has become a “prison,” one opposition member staying there said on Saturday. – Reuters
North America
Now, it is one of the last ways to escape Port-au-Prince, the capital city where violent gangs have cut off other road and sea routes for fleeing Haitians. Each day, scores of Haitians carrying suitcases and mattresses take the daylong, sometimes dangerous journey along the rocky route to get to the country’s southern coast, a haven from the urban warfare. – Wall Street Journal
Like much of the Mexican business world, Daniel Córdova finds himself grappling with an enormous variable looming across the American border: the imminent return of Donald J. Trump to the White House. – New York Times
A Canadian parliamentary committee led by an opposition Conservative Party lawmaker will hold meetings during legislative recess in hopes of expediting the defeat of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government, the lawmaker said on Friday. – Reuters
Mary Anastasia O’Grady writes: Soldiers are under the constant watchful eye of someone who can report them for a suspicious glance or the use of an unapproved website on a phone. Cuba’s sophistication in consolidating and analyzing intelligence is unmatched in the world. Under Cuban political tutelage, eight million Venezuelans have fled the country, there are 1,900 political prisoners, and the five patriots inside the embassy are being starved to death. This is state-sponsored terrorism by any other name. – Wall Street Journal
United States
This past year showed that the progressive politics that dominated most industrialized countries over the past two decades or more is shifting to the right, fueled by working-class anxieties over the economy and immigration, and growing fatigue with issues from climate change to identity politics. The return of Donald Trump to the White House is the most dramatic and important example—but it is far from the only one. – Wall Street Journal
Former President Jimmy Carter, the Georgia peanut farmer whose one term in the Oval Office was plagued by problems at home and abroad but who was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize after he left office, died Sunday in Plains, Ga. He was 100 years old, the longest-lived former president in the country’s history. He had been in hospice since February 2023. The Carter Center confirmed his death. – Wall Street Journal
In the past several weeks — and before he has been sworn in for his second term — President-elect Donald Trump has threatened trade wars with both of the United States’ closest neighbors, mused about taking over Greenland, blustered about bringing the Panama Canal back under American control and suggested making Canada the 51st state. – Washington Post
Marc Fogel, an American teacher serving a 14-year prison sentence in Russia, has been designated by the U.S. government as wrongfully detained, the State Department said on Friday. – New York Times
Editorial: Biden and these aides have told people in recent days that he could have defeated Trump, according to people familiar with their comments, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private conversations.” The Post reports that Mr. Biden doesn’t want to say this publicly lest it seem a criticism of Kamala Harris, but wow. This ignores that Mr. Biden was trailing before he dropped out and that Ms. Harris made the race closer. Mr. Biden’s regret should be how he governed, and that he didn’t drop out a year earlier. – Wall Street Journal
Editorial: In truth, portraying a great divide between Mr. Carter’s presidency and his post-presidency is a bit simplistic. He was a complicated man, but consistent in his principles, which were guided, perhaps more than those of any other modern American president, by his religious beliefs. “As Martin Luther recognized centuries earlier,” wrote a Carter biographer, Randall Balmer, “those who subscribe to the ethic of works righteousness can never be certain they have accumulated enough merit. Jimmy Carter doesn’t lack so much for passion as he does for respite.” – Washington Post
Stuart E. Eizenstat writes: The day after his loss to Reagan, Carter told us to get our chins off the floor and make his months as a lame duck the most productive transition in history. He signed the Alaska lands law and the Superfund chemical cleanup law. He made a deal for the release of the Tehran hostages. At the request of his bitter opponent, Sen. Kennedy, he appointed Stephen Breyer to the First U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, clearing his way to the Supreme Court. In nearly 44 years after leaving the White House, Jimmy Carter never stopped trying to make America, and the world, a better place. – Wall Street Journal
Lee Reiners writes: DOGE would have an ally in this effort in Paul Atkins, Mr. Trump’s nominee to lead the SEC. Testifying in 2015 on the effect of Dodd-Frank, Mr. Atkins told the House Financial Services Committee that the legislation’s authors “blew” a “once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to streamline our crazy quilt of financial services regulators,” most notably by failing to merge “the SEC and CFTC to create one markets regulator.” Working alongside DOGE as well as artificial-intelligence and crypto czar David Sacks, Mr. Atkins has an opportunity to right this wrong. Let’s hope they don’t blow it. – Wall Street Journal
Russel L. Honoré writes: The fact that Mr. Musk spent a quarter of a billion dollars to help re-elect Mr. Trump does not give the incoming White House the license to look the other way at the national security risks he may pose. If Mr. Trump and his appointees mean what they say about getting tough on America’s adversaries, then they will act on this matter without delay. There is too much at stake to ignore what’s right in front of them. – New York Times
Michael Pettis writes: In the end, tariffs are simply one among many tools that can improve economic outcomes under some conditions and depress them under others. In an economy suffering from excess consumption, low savings, and a declining manufacturing share of GDP, the focus of economists should be on the causes of these conditions and the policies that might reverse them. Tariffs could be one such policy. – Foreign Affairs
Rimon Tanvir Hossain writes: While some players like New Delhi, Brasilia, and Ankara are hedging against uncertainties to garner more negotiating power with Washington, others argue that new members like Egypt and Ethiopia are simply deepening ties with non-Western members, unlike Russia or Iran. Bringing Trump into the equation at the helm of the G7 bloc doesn’t immediately signal any tightening of alignment within BRICS. Still, it can potentially accelerate common causes over concerns like climate cooperation and financial statecraft in the interests of member states already under heavy sanctions. – National Interest
Cybersecurity
This oil-rich Gulf monarchy has made one of the world’s biggest bets on this emerging technology. As elsewhere, the huge sums spent on chips and energy to run the models and apps and the talent to build them may — or may not — ultimately pay off. – Politico
The White House said Friday that as the U.S. government continues to assess the damage caused by the Salt Typhoon hacks, the breach occurred in large part due to telecommunications companies failing to implement rudimentary cybersecurity measures across their IT infrastructure. – CyberScoop
Blue Yonder, the supply chain management giant that was hit by a ransomware attack last month that caused ripples throughout the retail sector, said it is investigating claims of data theft made by a ransomware gang on Christmas Eve. – The Record
An unidentified threat actor has compromised an administrative account of a data security startup, using it to distribute a malicious update for its Chrome browser extension. – The Record
Azeem Azhar writes: The United States has already established the importance of semiconductors through the CHIPS and Science Act and export controls aimed at boosting an A.I. economy and safeguarding national security. Now it must apply similar focus and urgency to upgrading its electrical infrastructure. Maybe it is time for the creation of an Energy Acceleration Authority that would have a mandate to streamline approvals for critical clean energy projects. Electricity is more than just a utility; it’s the bedrock of the digital era. If the United States truly wants to secure its leadership in A.I., it must equally invest in the energy systems that power it. – New York Times
Reva Goujon writes: For now, the unbridled optimism of technologists will keep the AI revolution moving forward, in hopes that the spread of the technology will transform humanity. At the same time, the anxiety of policymakers, who see economic and security risks lurking at every corner, will continue to drive efforts to channel AI competition toward zero-sum geopolitical goals. All recognize that power will accrue to those who hold the keys to AI development and deployment. As countries and tech giants jockey for position, the geopolitical tempest that ensues may overshadow the transformative potential of the technology. – Foreign Affairs
Defense
The Navy began procuring Constellation (FFG-62) class frigates (FFGs) in FY2020, and a total of six have been procured through FY2024. Current Navy plans call for procuring a total of at least 20 FFG-62s. The Navy’s proposed FY2025 budget requests $1,170.4 million (i.e., about $1.2 billion) for the procurement of the seventh ship in the program. – USNI News
New command opportunities are now available to Navy information warfare officers, according to service leaders. In a message released to the MyNavyHR website recently, Secretary of the Navy Carlos Del Toro indicted that IW officers will transition from restricted line officers to line officers performing information warfare duties. – DefenseScoop
The Army intends to award prototyping agreements to BAE Systems for new ultra-fast weapons to shoot down drones and other airborne threats, according to a recently posted notice. – DefenseScoop