April 13, 2015 | Quote

The Means of Coercing Iran

 In the negotiations between now and the end of June, the European allies will look to the United States to lead the negotiation. President Obama has expressed his intention to take any agreement reached to the United Nations — not the U.S. Congress — to achieve its “validation.” Given the ambivalence of each of the other permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, it will be endorsed unanimously. Soon thereafter, current sanctions will be relaxed, Iran will begin to export oil and recover economically. 

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If there were a positive lesson to be learned from the experience of the past two years, it concerns how well sanctions have worked. Iran’s economy is truly in a free fall today and the stresses being experienced at the grass roots of Iranian society have been the leading reason Iran came to the table in Lausanne and stayed. Keeping the sanctions in place at least through the first two years of any agreement so as to have demonstrable evidence that Iran is not violating its terms would be entirely reasonable. We have the diligent professional work done by Mark Dubowitz at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies to thank for developing much of the substance that found its way into the statutes and sanctions policy — both here and in Europe.

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Issues:

Iran Iran Sanctions