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July 5, 2023 Five Scenarios on Whether Tehran’s Nuclear Ambition Can Be Stopped Whispers of an agreement between Washington and Tehran are coalescing into something more substantial. While the fine details remain shrouded in mystery, the broad outline suggests that Tehran will... July 5, 2023 The rise and fall of Putin’s warlord Vladimir Putin could have lived out his life in luxury, committing serials murders with impunity, and spending his country’s wealth fighting tigers in [Siberia]Siberia and chilling with his “romantic... July 4, 2023 Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities are a growing threat to Europe As Europe struggles to combat Iran’s drone proliferation to Russia for use against Ukraine, it can ill afford to ignore improvements to an even greater unmanned aerial threat that... July 4, 2023 Mongolia Forum: Peace and security in Northeast Asia through Korean unification Since Mongolia transitioned from communism to democracy it has been quietly working behind the scenes as a peace builder serving as a convening location for numerous talks, dialogues, processes, workshops... July 1, 2023 Fact Check: President Biden’s claim Al Qaeda is not in Afghanistan is demonstrably false President Joe Biden claimed that Al Qaeda is not in Afghanistan and the U.S. has received help from the Taliban in eliminating the terror groups presence in the country. However, a recent report by the... June 30, 2023 Washington Needs a New Economic Security Framework for the Americas The Western hemisphere is home to some of the world’s largest economies—the United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico—and boasts countries with long-standing democratic traditions. Yet a lack of U.S.... June 29, 2023 Russia’s National Guard to Get Tanks Following Wagner Mutiny In the wake of Wagner’s mutiny, Viktor Zolotov, the head of Rosgvardia, Russia’s National Guard, said his troops will receive tanks and other heavy equipment. This appears to be a reaction to Rosgvardia’s... June 29, 2023 Xi’s Schadenfreude Over Moscow’s Mutiny In war, more things often go wrong than right. If that inconvenient truth was somehow lost on Chinese leader Xi Jinping more than 16 months into Russia’s planned two-day takeover of Ukraine, then... June 29, 2023 Russia’s Biowarfare Lies Can’t Go Unanswered The Russian disinformation machine has spun its latest web of lies. Last week, the Russian Defense Ministry accused the U.S. of preparing to target Russian troops with drones carrying malaria-bearing... June 28, 2023 Yes, Xi Jinping is a dictator, and he should be proud of it What’s Xi Jinping getting his knickers in a knot about? Was it a diplomatic faux pas for President Biden to call him — at a campaign fundraiser — a “dictator”? Of course. Was... June 27, 2023 Unrest in the West Bank: More Than Two Years of Escalating Violence The West Bank is undergoing a period of major instability due to the significant allocation of resources by various armed groups, namely Islamic Jihad, al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, and Hamas. Adding fuel to the fire, Iran and Hezbollah are supporting the unrest by transferring arms and finances. A marked surge in hostilities… June 27, 2023 The price of dependency: The rhetoric and reality of de-risking US-China ties The Sino-US superpower competition is mostly playing out in industrial and technological fields with real consequences for multinationals accustomed to a borderless world. The private sector is slowly... June 27, 2023 After Wagner Group’s failed coup, spread the word: Putin is vulnerable In response to Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s threat over the weekend, Russian President Vladimir Putin refrained from any serious counteraction as Wagner troops neared the city. Prigozhin... June 26, 2023 Time to Stop Disruptive Russian-Serbian Machinations in the Balkans While all eyes are on Ukraine, Serbia, backed by Russia, is provoking fresh chaos in the Balkans. By pushing the region to the brink of collapse and igniting ethnic conflicts, the Kremlin hopes to undermine... June 26, 2023 Cluster Munitions Are Biden’s Latest Slow-Roll on Ukraine Aid As it pushes to liberate its territory, Ukraine is asking the United States for a controversial weapon: cluster munitions. These projectiles scatter small bomblets over a wide area and are thus much... June 25, 2023 Palau under CCP pressure to switch recognition from Taiwan to China The United States has exceptionally close defense and security relationships with three countries—closer than it has with any others. And they aren’t the ones you think. Through the Compacts... June 23, 2023 Kyiv Strikes Key Bridge Connecting Crimea to Mainland Ukraine The Ukrainian military on Thursday struck a key bridge connecting the Crimean Peninsula to the Russian-occupied part of Kherson Oblast. The strike aims to degrade Russia’s ability to resist the counteroffensive Kyiv... June 23, 2023 How Erdoğan Is Fomenting an Anti-Western Mindset in Turkey We are captives of the present. Up until the May elections, most observers of Turkish politics focused (correctly) on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s plans regarding foreign policy. Questions about domestic... June 23, 2023 Will Erdogan Finally Ratify Sweden’s NATO Accession? No One Knows. The expectation that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will finally agree to support Sweden’s bid to join NATO has gone from “It’ll definitely happen after Erdogan gets reelected” to “Who... June 22, 2023 Why Iran’s regime fears women’s hair It’s the Iranian regime’s obsession. Surveillance cameras dot the landscape of Tehran and other Iranian cities in search of supposed deviants: women who fail to wear the mandatory hijab, or headscarf.... June 22, 2023 Turn Russia’s paranoia against it: Fight back in the information war A Russian bureaucrat and his wife are at home with their child. They’re disillusioned, asking themselves, “Is it the kind of life I dreamt of?” Then the man decides to contact the CIA. “We... June 21, 2023 UN Report Ignores Palestinian Terrorism, Blasts U.S. Supporters Of Israel A 27-nation coalition led by the United States today rightly condemned the United Nations commission of inquiry (COI) investigating the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. A COI report earlier... June 21, 2023 Bashar Al Assad Must Pay Arab leaders have welcomed Syria back into the diplomatic fold, but the U.S. Congress remains committed to holding the regime of Bashar al Assad accountable for a decade of atrocities. In... June 21, 2023 A C2 Structure for a Strong U.S.-Japan Alliance This commentary is part of the Exploring New Horizons: Japan’s Defense Priorities project, a CSIS Japan Chair initiative featuring analysis by leading Japanese and American scholars examining the implications... June 21, 2023 Putin’s to-do list Western leaders have long misunderstood Vladimir Putin. In 2001, President George W. Bush “looked the man in the eye” and “found him to be very straightforward and trustworthy.” Not exactly. In... June 20, 2023 Can NATO Finally Make the 2 Percent Stick? Eyeing the NATO summit in Vilnius next month, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg reiterated last Tuesday the need for each alliance member to spend at least 2 percent of GDP... June 18, 2023 The one place in the Middle East where minorities are thriving Palestinian propagandists want you to believe that Israel is engaged in the “ethnic cleansing” of non-Jews. A closer look at demographics, however, proves otherwise. On the occasion of... June 16, 2023 Biden wants a ‘thaw’ with China. What would that take? The Chinese Communist Party follows a deliberate, consistent strategy toward the United States that has not changed — and will not anytime soon. That strategy’s overarching goal is to overtake... June 16, 2023 Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Two Weeks In Nearly two weeks into their long-awaited counteroffensive, Ukrainian forces have made some initial tactical gains while also taking significant losses. However, the offensive has yet to reach its decisive... June 16, 2023 Afghan Taliban and Al Qaeda aiding Pakistani Taliban’s insurgency The Afghan Taliban, with the help of Al Qaeda, is directly sheltering, supporting, and training the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan (Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan or TTP) despite claims to the contrary. The... June 16, 2023 Hold the WHO accountable for embracing North Korea Former President Donald Trump congratulated Kim Jong Un earlier this month after North Korea joined the Executive Board of the World Health Organization. Nikki Haley, Trump’s... June 16, 2023 Tehran Takes Caracas On Monday, Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi began a five-day tour of Venezuela, Cuba, and Nicaragua, three Latin American countries governed by authoritarian, anti-Western regimes. Raisi’s three predecessors... June 16, 2023 Israel must oppose the Iran understandings with all it’s got According to all indications, the negotiations between the United States and Iran on a nuclear deal known as “freeze for freeze” – which is actually “quiet for money” – are... June 16, 2023 How Cairo’s Embassy In Tel Aviv Can Contribute To A Warmer Peace With Israel There are very few things about which Cairo’s elite and its Muslim Brotherhood critics can agree. But last week, both sides cheered for a 23-year-old Egyptian border guard named Mohamed Salah who murdered... June 15, 2023 Don’t Stop Digging Into Iran’s Nuclear Secrets Few Americans have probably heard of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN’s nuclear watchdog. Last week, the IAEA’s board of governors convened in Vienna to hear from its director... June 15, 2023 Marines Need to Move beyond Their Amphibious-Assault Past As Congress begins to consider the FY2024 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), there is no greater debate regarding naval shipbuilding than the one that surrounds the future of the Navy’s amphibious... June 15, 2023 A smarter way to catch insiders who leak top secret information How do you stop a 21-year-old national guardsman like Jack Teixeira from leaking classified information? Wrong answers to this question have quickly become very popular. One theory is there are... June 14, 2023 Why is Biden appeasing a Putin pawn as NATO forces are attacked? As Russian President Vladimir Putin performs poorly in Ukraine, he will employ every possible tactic to distract the West. This time, Russia, with Serbia’s help, is provoking chaos in Europe’s... June 14, 2023 Cyber Resilience Helps Democracies Prevail Against Authoritarian Disinformation Campaigns Before Russian troops poured into Ukraine in February 2022, the Kremlin had already begun its war online, using cyber operations to disrupt Ukrainian citizens’ access to information and spread chaos... June 14, 2023 Blood of the Congo Electric vehicles are marvelous in many ways but if you think they’re “green and clean” you haven’t done your homework. Not to worry: Siddharth Kara has done it for you. The author of three... June 13, 2023 Al Qaeda actively operating training camps in 5 Afghan provinces Since the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan following the U.S withdrawal in Aug. 2021, Al Qaeda has established training camps in five Afghan provinces, as well as safe houses and other infrastructure across... June 13, 2023 Islamic Jihad Begins Military Summer Camp for Palestinian Youth On June 10, mosques operated by Islamic Jihad held open registration for Palestinian youth to attend military training camps in the Gaza Strip. The camp is called “Revenge of the Free,” which... June 12, 2023 Analysis: Shabaab takes advantage of slowed counter-offensive Somalia’s large counter-offensive against Shabaab is currently stalled and its much touted next phase continues to be delayed. In response, Shabaab, al Qaeda’s branch in East Africa, seeks to gain... June 12, 2023 Five urgent steps to prevent American military defeat in the Pacific As lawmakers in Washington move this month to consider the fiscal 2024 defense budget and annual defense authorization bill, the United States is on a path toward military defeat in the Pacific. China’s... June 12, 2023 Why is Baghdad funding pro-Iran militias? Iraq is about to approve a budget that allocates $2.8 billion to the Shia militias known as the Popular Mobilisation Units (PMU), marking an increase of $600 million from the previous... June 11, 2023 Al Qaeda leaders are prominently serving in Taliban government Several members of Al Qaeda are serving as leaders and key functionaries within the Taliban’s government, which it calls the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan. Among them are two provincial governors, the... June 11, 2023 America’s Power Competition Goes Awry in Lula’s Brazil Jair Bolsonaro’s presidency proved to be an unmitigated disaster for Brazil. During his four-year term, Bolsonaro pushed competent ministers to resign, likely to shield family members from corruption... June 9, 2023 Biden Should Demand More From Turkey Before Selling F-16s Turkey’s elections are over, and the scramble now begins to get Turkey to ratify Sweden’s NATO membership at the alliance’s Vilnius summit. U.S. President Joe Biden and Secretary of State Antony... June 8, 2023 What to Expect From Erdogan’s Third Term Since Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan secured his third term on May 28, the shock of his decisive defeat of the opposition has largely given way to questions about what Erdogan’s new term will... June 8, 2023 Why Egypt’s Sisi should go to Israel An Egyptian border guard shot and killed three Israeli soldiers at a Sinai border post on Saturday. The incident has shocked the Israeli public. And it has cast some doubt on the peace agreement between Egypt and...

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