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June 2, 2023 UKRAINE REPORT: Russia, Ukraine Trade Missile and Drone Barrages as Counteroffensive Looms Kyiv continues to pursue a weeks-long effort to set favorable conditions for success in its coming counteroffensive. These “shaping operations” aim to undermine the Russian military’s ability... June 1, 2023 Analysis of the IAEA’s Iran NPT Safeguards Report – May 2023 The latest quarterly International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards report on Iran indicates limited progress on safeguards and monitoring issues, and overwhelmingly shows that Iran is unwilling... June 1, 2023 A Perilous Equation: Khamenei’s Nuclear Ambitions and Washington’s Inaction At a closed-door Iran briefing in May, Biden administration officials reported to the U.S. Senate on the rapid advance of Tehran’s nuclear program. Senators who emerged from the briefing could not... June 1, 2023 Unlock Compliance Excellence: Harness the Power of an SBOM to Conquer Import and Export Controls, Including OFAC Regulations. Last month I wrote about using a Software Bill of Material (SBOM) as a valuable tool for managing cybersecurity risk. This month I am expanding that conversation from cybersecurity risk to legal trouble.... June 1, 2023 Saudi normalization should not come at the expense of Israel’s top priority: Preventing a bad Iran deal Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, National Security Advisor Tzachi Hanegbi, and his senior deputy Gil Reich are all in Washington for meetings with senior White House and state officials, ahead of... May 31, 2023 How Congress Can Fix Biden’s Failed U.N. Strategy Countries from around the world gathered in Geneva, Switzerland, over the past week for the World Health Organization’s annual assembly, but Taiwan was not among them. Pressure from Beijing thwarted requests... May 31, 2023 The fantasy of multipolarity At the conclusion of its summit in Hiroshima earlier this month, the Group of Seven issued a communique calling attention to China’s “malign practices.” That prompted spokesmen for the Chinese Communist... May 30, 2023 Can Russia’s New Guided Glide Bombs Help Blunt Ukraine’s Counteroffensive? The Russian military on May 8 officially acknowledged that it had employed its new “Universal Gliding and Correction Module,” or UMPK, against Ukraine. Designed to turn a “dumb” bomb... May 30, 2023 Stationing US Navy Destroyers in Spain Increases Readiness in the Pacific The U.S. Navy recently announced its intention to forward station an additional two Arleigh Burke-class ballistic missile defense-capable destroyers in Rota, Spain, raising the total number of U.S. destroyers... May 29, 2023 Why Did Erdogan Win? Kemal Kilicdaroglu’s loss against incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan should be seen as a loss not only for the people of Turkey but for democracy worldwide. It is difficult to see the silver lining... May 26, 2023 Putin’s mini-Nato is falling apart Russia has moved ahead with its plan to deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus: the first time Russia will store part of its nuclear arsenal in another country since the breakup of the Soviet... May 25, 2023 Lebanese Hezbollah Making Preparations to Target US Troops in Syria Lebanese Hezbollah’s “Golan Unit” is conducting military exercises in preparation to attack American troops operating in Syria, two U.S. intelligence officials confirmed to FDD’s Long War... May 25, 2023 Canada Must Recognize Iran’s Role in Gaza Terror Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may need a crash course in basic Middle East geopolitics. In a statement issued as Israel faced legions of Palestinian rockets fired toward its territory this month,... May 25, 2023 Training and Testing Facility Violence Prevention Designs A business may wish to change how it trains and tests its BCP in order to maximize the value of crisis architecture by accounting for the building’s unique designs and functions. The following principles... May 25, 2023 Iran Needs an Ultimatum, Not a New Deal Five years ago, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a shocking revelation to the world: Iran had cheated from the start on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, concealing an atomic weapons... May 24, 2023 Militias are a symptom, not a cure With global attention focused on deadly clashes between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces in Khartoum, another militia halfway around the world was locked in battle against... May 24, 2023 High time for a ‘Hajj Express’ for Israeli Muslims With the Hajj being only a month away, Saudi Arabia has a chance to take the high road with Israeli Muslims and sidestep the obstacles in their efforts to normalize relations. Riyadh is hereby called upon,... May 24, 2023 What would Turkish foreign policy look like under a third Erdogan term? Turkish voters will decide on Sunday who will lead Turkey as president for the next five years. If the widely expected comes to pass, that person will be Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has governed... May 23, 2023 The Road to Israel-Saudi Normalization Runs Through Washington Saudi Arabia’s crown prince reportedly told senior U.S. officials earlier this month that he is prepared to normalize the kingdom’s relations with Israel as part of a broader reset in relations between... May 22, 2023 The New Saudi State Sets Off Into Uncharted Geopolitical Waters A huge Saudi flag flies over the approach to Diriyah, the first capital of the al-Saud dynasty and the site of one of five massive national development projects that are remaking the socioeconomic and... May 22, 2023 UN ‘Nakba’ Day devolves into antisemitism Palestinian National Authority President Mahmoud Abbas used his United Nations speech last week to accuse Israelis of systematically lying, likening the Jewish state to Nazi propagandist Joseph... May 19, 2023 America Needs a New Protocol for Handling Shooter Manifestos It did not take long for the online profiles of the Allen, Texas, mass shooter to go viral. Misogynistic rants, Nazi tattoos, and expressions of frustration at the shooter’s own ethnicity remain accessible even... May 19, 2023 Modi goes to PNG – why it matters to the region and Australia India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be in Papua New Guinea early next week and then go on to Australia, despite the cancellation of the Quad Leaders’ summit. Fortunately, Prime Minister Modi’s... May 19, 2023 How Crisis Architecture can Complement Business Continuity Plans Physical attacks — be they against businesses, banks, critical energy infrastructure, or places of worship — continue to tragically dominate the news cycle. Business continuity plans (BCPs) have now... May 18, 2023 War in Ukraine update: Ukraine Debuts New UK-Supplied Storm Shadow Missiles British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace announced last week that London had given Storm Shadow missiles to Kyiv. Soon after, Ukraine debuted its new weapon in strikes deep inside Russian-occupied... May 18, 2023 The Arab League’s Misguided Faith in Bashar al-Assad The Arab League has unfrozen the membership of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, 12 years after his suspension for brutally crushing a peaceful uprising against his rule. Arab League Secretary General... May 18, 2023 Gaza Rockets Pierce White House Optimism on Middle East In five days of fighting that ended with a Saturday night ceasefire, terrorists in Gaza fired more than a thousand rockets into Israel—1,468 rockets to be precise. Thanks to bomb shelters and the Iron... May 18, 2023 China Is Bailing Out Its Bad Bets, and Handing the West a Geopolitical Opening China has created its own subprime infrastructure crisis, and now it is trying to bail itself out. The rescue efforts are focused on loans for China’s much-touted Belt and Road Initiative, or BRI, Beijing’s... May 18, 2023 Four Steps to Mix SBOMs—Softwares’ Recipe—Into Risk Management Software bills of materials, the ingredient lists for software, are important elements to companies’ cybersecurity strategies, but only if they use SBOMs effectively to manage risk, Georgianna Shea and... May 18, 2023 The Perfect Tool for Scaling U.S. Defense Investment In the global techno-competition, the Department of Defense (DoD) has finally fielded a tool to incentivize America’s capital markets to invest in the kinds of emerging technologies Washington... May 17, 2023 Turkey’s 2023 Elections: The Anticipated Happened? There is no other way to say it: the outcome of Turkey’s elections is a huge setback for the country’s political opposition. Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the “Nation Alliance’s” candidate, seeking to... May 17, 2023 Bashar al-Assad is back Is there, anywhere in the world, a dictator with bloodier hands than Bashar al-Assad? The competition is intense, I realize. But over the past dozen years, since protestors first took to the streets of... May 17, 2023 South Korea-US Alliance Is at a Critical Juncture for Cybersecurity Cooperation Standing in the Rose Garden of the White House in late April, U.S. President Joe Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol pledged “to get the ball rolling” on expanding the Mutual Defense... May 17, 2023 Why Xi Is Ghosting Biden Excerpt Chinese leader Xi Jinping is ghosting U.S. President Joe Biden. Indeed, it has been six months since the two leaders last spoke—in the interim, Beijing has blamed busy schedules and even balloons... May 17, 2023 The President Must Move Swiftly to Nominate New National Cyber Director The Office of the National Cyber Director successfully led the development of the new National Cybersecurity Strategy. Now, the office is missing a key ingredient for implementing the strategy’s... May 17, 2023 Why Turkey Experts Got the Election All Wrong After a long day, night, and early morning last Sunday and Monday, Turkey’s Supreme Election Council declared that the hard-fought and much-anticipated presidential election would go to a runoff on May 28. Neither incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan nor his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, garnered more than 50 percent of the vote, so they will do it all over again. The odds are that Erdogan has the advantage going forward and will extend his two-decade-long leadership for another five years. May 15, 2023 Amid Escalation in Gaza, Tunisian Soldier Murders Local Jews A Tunisian national guardsman murdered two Jewish cousins and three Tunisian officers last Tuesday, turning a festive occasion into a tragedy. Aviel and Benjamin Haddad were among thousands of... May 12, 2023 It’s time to put Putin on the defensive Britain always has been, is now, and will be our eternal enemy,” Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev declared, promising the UK’s imminent collapse “into the abyss... May 12, 2023 A new foundation for the US-Saudi partnership Once a bastion of Western influence in the Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia may be shifting its allegiance toward the East. Tired of Washington’s wavering support, the Saudis are warming to China.... May 12, 2023 War in Ukraine Update: Wagner Group Drama in Bakhmut Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of Russia’s Wagner paramilitary group, escalated his long-running feud with Russia’s Ministry of Defense over the last week. In a March 4 video, Prigozhin hurled expletives... May 12, 2023 Israel can turn Iran’s multi-theater conflagration strategy into an advantage Israel can turn Iran’s multi-theater conflagration strategy into an advantage ... May 12, 2023 It’s time to hold Russia accountable for its use of chemical weapons The film “Navalny” won the Academy Award in March for best documentary feature. The picture details the Kremlin’s 2020 apparent attempt to assassinate Alexei Navalny using a chemical nerve agent... May 11, 2023 What Ukraine Still Needs to Win As Kyiv gears up for its spring counteroffensive, some U.S. officials are privately casting doubt on what Ukraine can achieve. To be sure, the Ukrainian military will face serious hurdles in... May 10, 2023 Iran’s Multifront Strategy Against Israel Rockets from Gaza flew toward Tel Aviv on May 10, only a few weeks after Israel celebrated its 75th anniversary. Against all odds, the country has survived despite multiple wars with its neighbors, a dearth... May 10, 2023 Israel’s 75th birthday On May 14, 1948, in the Tel Aviv Museum, David Ben-Gurion read from the Declaration of the Establishment of the State of Israel. As historian Simon Sebag Montefiore recounts in his masterful book, “Jerusalem:... May 8, 2023 Sometimes less is more: The most important 26 words of ROK-US summit By all measures the Republic of Korea (ROK) and the United States (ROK-U.S.) summit and state visit by President Yoon Suk Yeol was a resounding success. It celebrated the 70-year blood friendship kindled... May 8, 2023 President Aliyev: “Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran are at the Lowest Level Ever” From day one of the independence of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Iran has been hostile toward Baku and consistently acted to undermine its security and independence. However, over the last year the ties... May 8, 2023 Turkey Wants a Post-election Reset with Washington Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently announced a joint American-Turkish effort to sanction two individuals with ties to radical entities inside northern Syria. Specifically, the U.S. Treasury Department... May 8, 2023 China and Russia Encourage Iran to Go Nuclear Iran has secured great-power patronage for the first time in four decades. Tehran now possess advanced centrifuges, a growing stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and a cadre of decent physicists... May 8, 2023 Let’s turn the tables on Russia’s information warfare with some of our own Vladimir Putin delivers an address every May 9 to celebrate Victory Day, which marks the Soviet Union’s triumph over Nazi Germany in World War II — what Russians dub the “Great Patriotic...

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